Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Round
The No. 8 Memphis Tigers (26-8) are 1.5-point favorites to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they face off against the No. 9 Florida Atlantic Owls (31-3) on Friday, beginning at 9:20 PM on TNT. Here’s everything you need to know about this 8-9 matchup before filling out your bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Odds
- Memphis odds to win: -129
- Florida Atlantic odds to win: +107
- Spread: Memphis (-1.5)
- Total: 152.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 17, 2023
- Time: 9:20 PM ET
- TV: TNT
- Where: Columbus, Ohio
- Venue: Nationwide Arena
Who Will Win Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic?
Memphis and Florida Atlantic Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Memphis has a 10-14-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more.
Florida Atlantic has a 3-2 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
These two teams average 158.6 points per game combined, 6.1 more than the total of 152.5.
Memphis and Florida Atlantic have seen their opponents average a combined 15.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 152.5 set for this outing.
Memphis’ average point total in outings this year is 151.7, 0.8 points fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Owls this season is 8.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Tigers have a 16-16-2 record against the spread this season.
The Owls’ ATS record is 21-11-0 this season.
Memphis Stats & Insights
Memphis has a +267 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.9 points per game. It is putting up 79.8 points per game to rank 22nd in college basketball and is allowing 71.9 per outing to rank 235th in college basketball.
Memphis pulls down 32.2 rebounds per game (150th in college basketball) compared to the 31.5 of its opponents.
The Tigers hit 1.9 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.1 (311th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.
Memphis ranks 111th in college basketball with 96.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 65th in college basketball defensively with 87 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Tigers are averaging 79.9 points per game this season at home, which is 2.1 fewer points than they’re averaging on the road (82).
Florida Atlantic Stats & Insights
Florida Atlantic’s +470 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.8 points per game (27th in college basketball) while allowing 65 per outing (41st in college basketball).
Florida Atlantic ranks 21st in the country at 35.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.7 more than the 29.9 its opponents average.
Florida Atlantic hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (12th in college basketball) at a 37.2% rate (35th in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make, at a 31.9% rate.
Florida Atlantic ranks 14th in college basketball averaging 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 18th, allowing 83.8 points per 100 possessions.
The Owls are scoring more points at home (82.1 per game) than on the road (75.9).
Memphis Key Players to Watch
Kendric Davis leads the Tigers in points and assists per game, scoring 22.1 points and distributing 5.6 assists.
DeAndre Williams is Memphis’ best rebounder, grabbing an average of eight boards in each contest while scoring 17.8 points per game.
The Tigers get the most three-point shooting production out of Davis, who makes 1.9 threes per game.
The Memphis steals leader is Davis, who averages two takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.
Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch
Johnell Davis is the top scorer for the Owls with 13.5 points per game. He also adds 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game to his stats.
Vladislav Goldin has a stat line of 6.4 rebounds, 10.6 points and 0.4 assists per game for Florida Atlantic to take the top rebound spot on the team. Nicholas Boyd has the top spot for assists with 2.5 per game, adding 9 points and 4.1 rebounds per contest.
Alijah Martin hits two three-pointers per game, the most on the Owls.
Johnell Davis (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Florida Atlantic while Goldin (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Florida Atlantic (+1.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (152.5)
- Prediction:
Memphis 74, Florida Atlantic 73
How to Bet on Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic
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