Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Four

Social Navigation

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Four

College Basketball Predictions

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) are favored by 2.5 points over the Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) in a First Four matchup on Tuesday. A spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded to the winner of the game, which starts at 9:10 PM, airing on truTV. The point total is set at 133 in the matchup.

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Odds

  • Mississippi State odds to win: -139
  • Pittsburgh odds to win: +118
  • Spread: Mississippi State (-2.5)
  • Total: 133

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, March 14, 2023
  • Time: 9:10 PM ET
  • TV: truTV
  • Where: Dayton, Ohio
  • Venue: UD Arena

Who Will Win Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh?

Mississippi State and Pittsburgh Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Mississippi State is 10-13 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this season, Pittsburgh is 9-5 against the spread.

The Bulldogs and the Panthers combine to average nine more points per game than the total of 133 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.5 fewer points per game (131.5) than this game’s over/under of 133 points.

The average over/under Mississippi State has had set in matchups this season is 6.1 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average total in Panthers games this year is 13.6 more points than the point total of 133 for this outing.

So far this season, the Bulldogs have put together a 16-17-0 record against the spread.

So far this year, the Panthers have put together a 22-11-0 record against the spread.

Mississippi State Stats & Insights

Mississippi State outscores opponents by 4.9 points per game (scoring 65.9 per game to rank 321st in college basketball while allowing 61 per outing to rank ninth in college basketball) and has a +162 scoring differential overall.

Mississippi State is 28th in college basketball at 35.1 rebounds per game. That’s 4.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents average.

The Bulldogs connect on 5.2 three-pointers per game (345th in college basketball), 2.2 fewer than their opponents (7.4).

Mississippi State scores 87.5 points per 100 possessions (315th in college basketball), while giving up 81 points per 100 possessions (fifth in college basketball).

The Bulldogs score 69.6 points per game when playing at home, compared to 63.9 points per game on the road, a difference of 5.7 points per contest.

Pittsburgh Stats & Insights

Pittsburgh puts up 76.1 points per game (77th in college basketball) while allowing 70.5 per outing (190th in college basketball). It has a +186 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.6 points per game.

Pittsburgh is 88th in the nation at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.9 more than the 31.3 its opponents average.

Pittsburgh knocks down 9.2 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents.

Pittsburgh ranks 46th in college basketball with 99.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 194th defensively with 92 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, the Panthers average 77.8 points per game. On the road, they score 75.4.

Mississippi State Key Players to Watch

Tolu Smith leads the Bulldogs in scoring and rebounding, putting up 15.8 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Dashawn Davis leads Mississippi State in assists, averaging 3.5 per game while also scoring 8.5 points per contest.

Davis leads the Bulldogs in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Davis is Mississippi State’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Smith leads them in blocks with 0.7 per contest.

Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Jamarius Burton is at the top of the Panthers scoring leaderboard with 15.6 points per game. He also collects 4.8 rebounds and racks up 4.3 assists per game.

The Pittsburgh leaders in rebounding and assists are Blake Hinson with 6.2 rebounds per game (he also adds 15.6 points and 1.2 assists per game) and Nelly Cummings with 4.8 assists per game (he also tacks on 11 points and 2.6 rebounds per game).

Hinson is dependable from deep and leads the Panthers with 2.8 made threes per game.

Pittsburgh’s leader in steals is Burton (0.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Fede Federiko (1.7 per game).

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Pittsburgh (+2.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (133)

  • Prediction:
    Mississippi State 69, Pittsburgh 68

How to Bet on Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

Latest from Bleacher Nation:

Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.