San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Round

March 13, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (27-6) and the No. 12 Charleston (SC) Cougars (31-3) will meet on Thursday to compete for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. San Diego State is favored by 5.5 points in the opening round matchup, which tips off at 3:10 PM on truTV. Here are the insights you need when filling out your bracket for this 5-12 matchup. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.

San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Odds

San Diego State odds to win: -233
Charleston (SC) odds to win: +191
Spread: San Diego State (-5.5)
Total: 142

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 16, 2023
Time: 3:10 PM ET
TV: truTV
Where: Orlando, Florida
Venue: Amway Center

Who Will Win San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC)?

San Diego State and Charleston (SC) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, San Diego State is 9-10-1 against the spread.

Charleston (SC) is 2-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least a 5.5-point underdog.

The two teams average a combined 10.9 more points per game (152.9) than this game’s total of 142 points.

San Diego State and Charleston (SC) have seen their opponents average a combined 11 fewer points per game than the over/under of 142 set in this outing.

The average over/under San Diego State has had set in matchups this season is 6.3 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Cougars this year is 6.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Aztecs have gone 15-16-1 ATS this season.

The Cougars have a 19-14-0 record against the spread this year.

San Diego State Stats & Insights

San Diego State’s +279 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 72.1 points per game (170th in college basketball) while allowing 63.6 per outing (28th in college basketball).

San Diego State ranks 112th in the country at 32.8 rebounds per game. That’s 4.8 more than the 28 its opponents average.

The Aztecs connect on 7.2 three-pointers per game (201st in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.4 on average.

San Diego State puts up 96.6 points per 100 possessions (108th in college basketball), while giving up 85.3 points per 100 possessions (37th in college basketball).

The Aztecs score 75.4 points per game when playing at home, compared to 68.9 points per game on the road, a difference of 6.5 points per contest.

Charleston (SC) Stats & Insights

Charleston (SC) is outscoring opponents by 13.4 points per game, with a +457 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.8 points per game (14th in college basketball) and allows 67.4 per contest (97th in college basketball).

Charleston (SC) wins the rebound battle by 7.5 boards on average. It records 37.4 rebounds per game, fourth in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.9.

Charleston (SC) makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in college basketball), 4.2 more than its opponents. It shoots 33.4% from beyond the arc (222nd in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 30.7%.

Charleston (SC) ranks 37th in college basketball averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 11th, allowing 83.1 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Cougars are scoring 4.8 more points per game at home (84.3) than on the road (79.5).

San Diego State Key Players to Watch

Matt Bradley leads the Aztecs in scoring, tallying 12.9 points per game to go with 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

Nathan Mensah is San Diego State’s leading rebounder, pulling down 5.8 per game, while Darrion Trammell is its best passer, distributing 3.3 assists in each contest.

The Aztecs get the most three-point shooting production out of Adam Seiko, who knocks down 1.7 threes per game.

The San Diego State steals leader is Lamont Butler, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Mensah, who compiles 1.5 rejections per contest.

Charleston (SC) Key Players to Watch

Dalton Bolon is the top scorer for the Cougars with 12.4 points per game. He also adds 4.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game to his statistics.

The Charleston (SC) leaders in rebounding and assists are Ante Brzovic with 5.9 rebounds per game (he also adds 11.6 points and 0.9 assists per game) and Ryan Larson with 4.1 assists per game (he also tacks on 10.6 points and 3.3 rebounds per game).

Reyne Smith is consistent from three-point range and leads the Cougars with 2.7 made threes per game.

Charleston (SC)’s leader in steals is Larson (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Jaylon Scott (0.7 per game).