Utah State vs. Missouri Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Round

The No. 7 Missouri Tigers (24-9) are 1.5-point underdogs to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they take on the No. 10 Utah State Aggies (26-8) on Thursday. Here are some insights into this 7-10 matchup in the South Region bracket that starts at 1:40 PM, live on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points.

Utah State vs. Missouri Odds

• Utah State odds to win: -126
• Missouri odds to win: +105
• Spread: Utah State (-1.5)
• Total: 155.5

Utah State vs. Missouri Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 16, 2023
• Time: 1:40 PM ET
• TV: TNT
• Where: Sacramento, California
• Venue: Golden 1 Center

Who Will Win Utah State vs. Missouri?

Utah State and Missouri Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Utah State has a 21-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more.

Missouri is 7-7 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.

These two teams average 158.1 points per game combined, 2.6 more than the total of 155.5.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.2 fewer points per game (144.3) than this matchup’s over/under of 155.5 points.

The average point total in Utah State’s games this season is 7.2 fewer points than the over/under of 155.5 in this matchup.

Tigers games this season have averaged an over/under of 154.1 points, 1.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The Aggies have a 21-12-0 record against the spread this season.

The Tigers have gone 16-15-1 ATS this year.

Utah State Stats & Insights

Utah State is outscoring opponents by 8.9 points per game with a +301 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.6 points per game (31st in college basketball) and gives up 69.7 per contest (161st in college basketball).

Utah State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.3 boards. It is grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.9 per contest.

The Aggies hit 9.4 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 2.6 more than their opponents (6.8).

Utah State ranks eighth in college basketball by averaging 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 169th in college basketball, allowing 91.3 points per 100 possessions.

When playing at home, the Aggies are scoring 6.3 more points per game (81.3) than they are on the road (75).

Missouri Stats & Insights

Missouri puts up 79.5 points per game (23rd in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per outing (307th in college basketball). It has a +162 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.9 points per game.

Missouri is 353rd in college basketball at 27.7 rebounds per game. That’s 6.5 fewer than the 34.2 its opponents average.

Missouri connects on 9.4 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.9. It shoots 36.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.4%.

Missouri’s 100.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 31st in college basketball, and the 93.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 253rd in college basketball.

The Tigers are scoring more points at home (83.6 per game) than on the road (73.3).

Utah State Key Players to Watch

The Aggies leader in points and assists is Steven Ashworth, who scores 16.3 points per game along with 4.5 assists.

Utah State’s best rebounder is Daniel Akin, who averages 6.9 boards per game in addition to his 12 PPG average.

Ashworth makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aggies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.

The Utah State steals leader is Ashworth, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Trevin Dorius, who compiles one block per contest.

Missouri Key Players to Watch

Kobe Brown records 15.8 points and 6.3 rebounds per game for the Tigers, making him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Missouri’s assist leader is Nick Honor with 2.8 per game. He also averages 8 points per game and tacks on 1.6 rebounds per game.

D’Moi Hodge is consistent from deep and leads the Tigers with 2.9 made threes per game.

Missouri’s leader in steals and blocks is Hodge with 2.6 steals and 0.5 blocks per game.

Utah State vs. Missouri Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Utah State (-1.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (155.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Utah State 77, Missouri 73

How to Bet on Utah State vs. Missouri

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