Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Round

March 15, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide (29-5) and the No. 16 Texas A&M-CC Islanders (24-10) will meet on Thursday to compete for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Alabama is favored by 24.5 points in the opening round matchup, which begins at 2:45 PM on CBS. Here are the insights you need when filling out your bracket for this 1-16 matchup. The matchup has a point total of 154.5.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Odds

Alabama odds to win: -7229
Texas A&M-CC odds to win: +1780
Spread: Alabama (-24.5)
Total: 154.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 16, 2023
Time: 2:45 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: Birmingham, Alabama
Venue: Legacy Arena at BJCC

Who Will Win Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC?

Alabama and Texas A&M-CC Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Alabama is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 24.5 points or more this season.

Texas A&M-CC has not yet covered the spread as an underdog of 24.5 points or more this year (0-1).

The Crimson Tide and the Islanders combine to average 7.9 more points per game than the over/under of 154.5 set for this matchup.

Alabama and Texas A&M-CC have seen their opponents average a combined 13.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 154.5 set in this game.

The average point total in Alabama’s games this season is 3.8 fewer points than the total of 154.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for the Islanders this season is 1.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Crimson Tide are 20-14-0 ATS this season.

The Islanders are 17-11-1 against the spread this year.

Alabama Stats & Insights

Alabama has a +465 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.7 points per game. It is putting up 82.2 points per game to rank sixth in college basketball and is giving up 68.5 per contest to rank 127th in college basketball.

Alabama ranks first in college basketball at 40.8 rebounds per game. That’s 7.9 more than the 32.9 its opponents average.

The Crimson Tide make 4.6 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.1 (ninth-most in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 5.5.

Alabama averages 97.2 points per 100 possessions (87th in college basketball), while allowing 81 points per 100 possessions (fifth in college basketball).

The Crimson Tide are posting 89.5 points per game this year in home games, which is 15.8 more points than they’re averaging in away games (73.7).

Texas A&M-CC Stats & Insights

Texas A&M-CC is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game, with a +263 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.2 points per game (17th in college basketball) and gives up 72.5 per contest (254th in college basketball).

The 34 rebounds per game Texas A&M-CC accumulates rank 53rd in the nation, 3.4 more than the 30.6 its opponents record.

Texas A&M-CC connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (139th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8 on average.

Texas A&M-CC’s 99 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 50th in college basketball, and the 89.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 121st in college basketball.

The Islanders are scoring more points at home (87.9 per game) than away (72.7).

Alabama Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Crimson Tide is Brandon Miller, who puts up 19.6 points and 8.3 rebounds per game.

Jahvon Quinerly is Alabama’s best passer, distributing 3.8 assists per game while scoring 8.1 PPG.

Miller leads the Crimson Tide in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.

Mark Sears and Charles Bediako lead Alabama on the defensive end, with Sears leading the team in steals averaging 1.2 per game and Bediako in blocks averaging 1.8 per contest.

Texas A&M-CC Key Players to Watch

Trey Tennyson averages 15.6 points per game and is the top scorer for the Islanders.

Isaac Mushila has a stat line of 9.7 rebounds, 14.4 points and 1.2 assists per game for Texas A&M-CC to take the top rebound spot on the team. Terrion Murdix has the top spot for assists with 5.4 per game, adding 13.4 points and 4.3 rebounds per contest.

Tennyson hits 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Islanders.

Texas A&M-CC’s leader in steals is Murdix (2.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Simeon Fryer (0.4 per game).