TCU vs. Arizona State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round First Round

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 6-seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) play as a 5-point favorite against the No. 11 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (23-12) on Friday at Ball Arena. The contest starts at 10:05 PM on truTV. Here’s a look into this 6-11 matchup before filling out your brackets. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.

TCU vs. Arizona State Odds

• TCU odds to win: -221
• Arizona State odds to win: +181
• Spread: TCU (-5)
• Total: 142

TCU vs. Arizona State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, March 17, 2023
• Time: 10:05 PM ET
• TV: truTV
• Where: Denver, Colorado
• Venue: Ball Arena

Who Will Win TCU vs. Arizona State?

TCU and Arizona State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

TCU has a 7-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 5 points or more.

In games it has played as at least a 5-point underdog this season, Arizona State is 4-4 against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 4.3 more points per game (146.3) than this matchup’s total (142).

TCU and Arizona State have seen their opponents average a combined 6.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 142 set for this outing.

TCU’s average point total in outings this season is 143.1, 1.1 points higher than the total in this game.

The average total for Sun Devils games this season is three fewer points than the point total of 142 for this outing.

The Horned Frogs’ ATS record is 16-17-0 this season.

So far this year, the Sun Devils have compiled a 16-19-0 record against the spread.

TCU Stats & Insights

TCU outscores opponents by 7.3 points per game (scoring 75.2 per game to rank 95th in college basketball while giving up 67.9 per outing to rank 114th in college basketball) and has a +240 scoring differential overall.

TCU ranks 91st in the country at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.4 more than the 31.8 its opponents average.

The Horned Frogs knock down 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.2 on average.

TCU averages 93.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (182nd in college basketball), and gives up 84.7 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).

The Horned Frogs post 77.9 points per game in home games, compared to 72.4 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 5.5 points per contest.

Arizona State Stats & Insights

Arizona State is outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +114 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71.1 points per game (190th in college basketball) and allows 67.9 per outing (114th in college basketball).

Arizona State ranks 107th in the nation at 32.9 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 fewer than the 34.5 its opponents average.

Arizona State knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (152nd in college basketball) at a 31.9% rate (305th in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 its opponents make, shooting 34.1% from beyond the arc.

Arizona State’s 89.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 279th in college basketball, and the 85.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 43rd in college basketball.

The Sun Devils score 71.1 points per game at home, and 69.5 on the road.

TCU Key Players to Watch

The Horned Frogs scoring leader is Mike Miles, who averages 17.3 per contest to go with 2.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists.

Emanuel Miller is TCU’s leading rebounder, pulling down 6.6 per game, while Damion Baugh is its best passer, distributing 5.8 assists in each contest.

Miles leads the Horned Frogs in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The TCU steals leader is Baugh, who averages 1.9 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Charles O’Bannon Jr., who compiles one block per contest.

Arizona State Key Players to Watch

Desmond Cambridge is at the top of the Sun Devils scoring leaderboard with 13.8 points per game. He also collects 3.5 rebounds and averages 2.3 assists per game.

The Arizona State leaders in rebounding and assists are Warren Washington with 6.8 rebounds per game (he also adds 9.2 points and 1.5 assists per game) and Frankie Collins with 4.4 assists per game (he also tacks on 9.7 points and 4.2 rebounds per game).

Cambridge hits 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Sun Devils.

Arizona State’s leader in steals is Cambridge (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Washington (1.7 per game).

TCU vs. Arizona State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Arizona State (+5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (142)
  

• Prediction:
  TCU 71, Arizona State 70

How to Bet on TCU vs. Arizona State

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