Alabama vs. Maryland Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round
The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (30-5) will take to the court against the No. 8 seed Maryland Terrapins (22-12) on Saturday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. Alabama is a 8.5-point favorite to take a step forward in the bracket, which begins at 9:40 PM on TBS. The point total is set at 142.5 in the matchup.
Alabama vs. Maryland Odds
- Alabama odds to win: -429
- Maryland odds to win: +328
- Spread: Alabama (-8.5)
- Total: 142.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- TV: TBS
- Where: Birmingham, Alabama
- Venue: Legacy Arena at BJCC
Who Will Win Alabama vs. Maryland?
Alabama and Maryland Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Alabama is 10-8 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
Maryland is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
These teams average a combined 152.9 points per game, 10.4 more points than the over/under of 142.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 131.9 points per game, 10.6 fewer than the point total for this game.
Alabama’s average point total in matchups this year is 151.3, 8.8 points higher than the over/under in this game.
Terrapins games this year have averaged an over/under of 133.5 points, nine fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Crimson Tide’s ATS record is 20-15-0 this season.
The Terrapins are 21-12-1 ATS this year.
Alabama Stats & Insights
Alabama’s +486 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 82.6 points per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 68.7 per outing (138th in college basketball).
Alabama wins the rebound battle by 8.1 boards on average. It records 41 rebounds per game, which ranks first in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.9 per contest.
The Crimson Tide connect on 4.6 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.2 (eighth-most in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 5.6.
Alabama’s 97.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 81st in college basketball, and the 81.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.
At home, the Crimson Tide are scoring 15.8 more points per game (89.5) than they are on the road (73.7).
Maryland Stats & Insights
Maryland’s +240 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.3 points per game (204th in college basketball) while giving up 63.2 per contest (26th in college basketball).
Maryland wins the rebound battle by two boards on average. It records 31.1 rebounds per game, 227th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.1.
Maryland connects on 1.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 6.8 (237th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.6.
Maryland averages 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (84th in college basketball), and concedes 87.6 points per 100 possessions (71st in college basketball).
At home, the Terrapins average 74.6 points per game. Away, they average 62.5.
Alabama Key Players to Watch
Brandon Miller leads the Crimson Tide in scoring and rebounding, tallying 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game.
Alabama’s best passer is Jahvon Quinerly, who averages 3.7 assists per game to go with his 8.3 PPG scoring average.
The Crimson Tide get the most three-point shooting production out of Miller, who makes 2.9 threes per game.
The Alabama steals leader is Mark Sears, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Charles Bediako, who compiles 1.9 rejections per contest.
Maryland Key Players to Watch
Jahmir Young’s points (15.9 per game) and assists (3.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Terrapins’ leaderboards.
Julian Reese is at the top of the Maryland rebounding leaderboard with 7.3 rebounds per game. He also notches 11.4 points and tacks on one assist per game.
Don Carey hits 1.6 three-pointers per game, the most on the Terrapins.
Maryland’s leader in steals is Young with 1.3 per game, and its leader in blocks is Reese with 1.2 per game.
Alabama vs. Maryland Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Alabama 75, Maryland 67
How to Bet on Alabama vs. Maryland
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