Duke vs. Tennessee Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round
A spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament East Region bracket is on the line when the No. 5 seed Duke Blue Devils (27-8) face the No. 4 seed Tennessee Volunteers (24-10) on Saturday at 2:40 PM on CBS. Duke has been installed as a 3-point favorite to win this second round matchup. The point total in the matchup is set at 126.
Duke vs. Tennessee Odds
- Duke odds to win: -179
- Tennessee odds to win: +152
- Spread: Duke (-3)
- Total: 126
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
- Time: 2:40 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Orlando, Florida
- Venue: Amway Center
Who Will Win Duke vs. Tennessee?
Duke and Tennessee Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Duke is 12-13 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Tennessee is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least a 3-point underdog.
These teams average 144 points per game combined, 18 more than the over/under of 126.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 fewer points per game (121.5) than this matchup’s over/under of 126 points.
The average over/under Duke has had set in matchups this season is 10.1 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Volunteers this season is 3.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Blue Devils’ ATS record is 16-19-0 this season.
So far this season, the Volunteers have compiled a 17-17-0 record against the spread.
Duke Stats & Insights
Duke’s +315 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 72.6 points per game (156th in college basketball) while allowing 63.6 per outing (30th in college basketball).
Duke prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 8.1 boards. It is pulling down 35.9 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.8 per outing.
The Blue Devils connect on 6.8 three-pointers per game (237th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.2 on average.
Duke ranks 100th in college basketball by averaging 96.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 28th in college basketball, allowing 84.8 points per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Blue Devils have played better at home this season, averaging 76.7 points per game, compared to 68 per game away from home.
Tennessee Stats & Insights
Tennessee is outscoring opponents by 13.5 points per game, with a +457 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71.4 points per game (184th in college basketball) and allows 57.9 per outing (third in college basketball).
Tennessee is 22nd in the country at 35.6 rebounds per game. That’s 7.3 more than the 28.3 its opponents average.
Tennessee connects on 1.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 7.7 (135th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.8.
Tennessee’s 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 158th in college basketball, and the 76.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank second in college basketball.
The Volunteers score 76.7 points per game at home, and 67.1 on the road.
Duke Key Players to Watch
Kyle Filipowski leads the Blue Devils in scoring and rebounding, putting up 15.1 points and 9 boards per game.
Duke’s best passer is Tyrese Proctor, who averages 3.2 assists per game to go with his 9.2 PPG scoring average.
The Blue Devils get the most three-point shooting production out of Dariq Whitehead, who knocks down 1.5 threes per game.
Filipowski and Dereck Lively II lead Duke on the defensive end, with Filipowski leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Lively in blocks averaging 2.4 per contest.
Tennessee Key Players to Watch
Santiago Vescovi is the top scorer for the Volunteers with 12.6 points per game. He also adds 4.5 rebounds and three assists per game to his statistics.
Tennessee’s leader in rebounds is Olivier Nkamhoua with five per game, and its leader in assists is Zakai Zeigler with 5.4 per game.
Vescovi is dependable from distance and leads the Volunteers with 2.7 made threes per game.
Tennessee’s leader in steals is Zeigler with two per game, and its leader in blocks is Jonas Aidoo with 1.2 per game.
Duke vs. Tennessee Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Tennessee 67, Duke 65
How to Bet on Duke vs. Tennessee
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