Gonzaga vs. TCU Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round

The No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-5) take to the court against the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (22-12) with a Sweet 16 berth in the West Region of the bracket on the line on Sunday at Ball Arena. Gonzaga is a 4.5-point favorite to advance in this second round matchup, which airs on TBS. The matchup’s over/under is set at 152.5.

Gonzaga vs. TCU Odds

• Gonzaga odds to win: -199
• TCU odds to win: +168
• Spread: Gonzaga (-4.5)
• Total: 152.5

Gonzaga vs. TCU Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
• Time: 9:40 PM ET
• TV: TBS
• Where: Denver, Colorado
• Venue: Ball Arena

Who Will Win Gonzaga vs. TCU?

Gonzaga and TCU Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, Gonzaga is 12-16 against the spread.

TCU has a 4-3 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 4.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 10 more points per game (162.5) than this matchup’s total of 152.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 140.8 points per game, 11.7 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average over/under Gonzaga has had in its games this season is 7.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for the Horned Frogs this season is 9.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Bulldogs’ ATS record is 14-19-0 this season.

The Horned Frogs are 16-18-0 against the spread this season.

Gonzaga Stats & Insights

Gonzaga averages 87.4 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 72.8 per contest (263rd in college basketball). It has a +494 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 14.6 points per game.

The 33.7 rebounds per game Gonzaga averages rank 64th in the country, and are 5.5 more than the 28.2 its opponents pull down per contest.

The Bulldogs make 7.7 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball) at a 38.9% rate (fourth-best in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 their opponents make while shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc.

Gonzaga scores 109.7 points per 100 possessions (first in college basketball), while allowing 91.4 points per 100 possessions (169th in college basketball).

The Bulldogs are putting up 92.9 points per game this year in home games, which is 8.1 more points than they’re averaging in away games (84.8).

TCU Stats & Insights

TCU’s +242 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.1 points per game (93rd in college basketball) while giving up 68 per contest (118th in college basketball).

TCU wins the rebound battle by 1.6 boards on average. It records 33.3 rebounds per game, 85th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.7.

TCU connects on 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.2. It shoots 30.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.8%.

TCU ranks 178th in college basketball averaging 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 30th, allowing 85 points per 100 possessions.

At home the Horned Frogs are putting up 77.9 points per game, 5.5 more than they are averaging on the road (72.4).

Gonzaga Key Players to Watch

Drew Timme leads the Bulldogs in scoring and rebounding, putting up 20.9 points and 7.3 boards per game.

Nolan Hickman is Gonzaga’s best passer, dispensing 3.2 assists per game while scoring 8.4 PPG.

Julian Strawther leads the Bulldogs in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Anton Watson and Timme lead Gonzaga on the defensive end, with Watson leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Timme in blocks averaging one per contest.

TCU Key Players to Watch

Mike Miles averages 17.6 points per game to be the top scorer for the Horned Frogs.

The TCU leaders in rebounding and assists are Emanuel Miller with 6.6 rebounds per game (he also adds 12.3 points and 1.8 assists per game) and Damion Baugh with 5.9 assists per game (he also tacks on 12.5 points and 4.6 rebounds per game).

Miles is dependable from three-point range and leads the Horned Frogs with 1.4 made threes per game.

TCU’s leader in steals is Baugh with 1.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Charles O’Bannon Jr. with one per game.

Gonzaga vs. TCU Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Gonzaga (-4.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (152.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Gonzaga 79, TCU 73

How to Bet on Gonzaga vs. TCU

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