Kentucky vs. Kansas State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round

A spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament East Region bracket is on the line when the No. 6 seed Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) play the No. 3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (24-9) on Sunday at 2:40 PM on CBS. Kentucky has been installed as a 2.5-point favorite to win this second round matchup. The over/under for the matchup is set at 143.5.

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Odds

• Kentucky odds to win: -156
• Kansas State odds to win: +133
• Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
• Total: 143.5

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
• Time: 2:40 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Where: Greensboro, North Carolina
• Venue: Greensboro Coliseum

Who Will Win Kentucky vs. Kansas State?

Kentucky and Kansas State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Kentucky has a 12-14 record against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

Kansas State has a 4-5 record against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.

The Kentucky Wildcats and Kansas State Wildcats average 6.6 more points between them than the total of 143.5 for this matchup.

Kentucky and Kansas State have seen their opponents average a combined 7.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 143.5 set in this outing.

The average point total for Kentucky’s games this year is 1.3 fewer points than the over/under of 143.5 in this matchup.

The average total for Kansas State Wildcats games this season is 1.0 more point than the point total of 143.5 in this outing.

The Kentucky Wildcats are 16-17-0 ATS this season.

The Kansas State Wildcats’ ATS record is 22-11-0 this year.

Kentucky Stats & Insights

Kentucky has a +233 scoring differential, topping opponents by seven points per game. It is putting up 74.6 points per game to rank 109th in college basketball and is giving up 67.6 per contest to rank 102nd in college basketball.

The 36.5 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank ninth in college basketball, and are 9.6 more than the 26.9 its opponents pull down per contest.

The Kentucky Wildcats connect on 6.3 three-pointers per game (289th in college basketball) at a 35.2% rate (117th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 their opponents make while shooting 32.7% from beyond the arc.

Kentucky’s 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 72nd in college basketball, and the 88.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 94th in college basketball.

The Kentucky Wildcats average 78.4 points per game at home, compared to 71.4 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of seven points per contest.

Kansas State Stats & Insights

Kansas State has a +219 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.6 points per game. It is putting up 75.5 points per game, 84th in college basketball, and is allowing 68.9 per contest to rank 141st in college basketball.

Kansas State wins the rebound battle by 2.3 boards on average. It collects 32.2 rebounds per game, 149th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.9.

Kansas State connects on 7 three-pointers per game (220th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.3 on average.

Kansas State’s 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 158th in college basketball, and the 86.3 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 52nd in college basketball.

At home, the Kansas State Wildcats score 75 points per game. On the road, they score 76.7.

Kentucky Key Players to Watch

The Kentucky Wildcats leader in points and rebounds is Oscar Tshiebwe, who scores 16.2 points and pulls down 13.5 boards per game.

Cason Wallace is Kentucky’s best passer, distributing 4.3 assists per game while scoring 11.4 PPG.

Antonio Reeves leads the Kentucky Wildcats in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The Kentucky steals leader is Wallace, who averages two takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Tshiebwe, who compiles one block per contest.

Kansas State Key Players to Watch

Keyontae Johnson puts up 17.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game for the Kansas State Wildcats, enough to make him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Markquis Nowell records more assists than any other Kansas State teammate with 7.8 per game. He also scores 16.8 points and grabs 3.6 rebounds per game.

Nowell is reliable from three-point range and leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 2.4 made threes per game.

Kansas State’s leader in steals is Nowell with 2.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Nae’Qwan Tomlin with 0.8 per game.

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Kansas State (+2.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (143.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 72, Kansas State 71

How to Bet on Kentucky vs. Kansas State

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