Marquette vs. Michigan State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round
The No. 2 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (29-6) and the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (20-12) meet in the NCAA Tournament with a ticket to the Sweet 16 of the East Region bracket on the line on Sunday at Nationwide Arena, tipping off at 5:15 PM. Marquette is a 3-point favorite in the Round of 32 matchup, which airs on CBS. The matchup’s over/under is 139.
Marquette vs. Michigan State Odds
- Marquette odds to win: -163
- Michigan State odds to win: +138
- Spread: Marquette (-3)
- Total: 139
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
- Time: 5:15 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Columbus, Ohio
- Venue: Nationwide Arena
Who Will Win Marquette vs. Michigan State?
Marquette and Michigan State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Marquette has a 13-9 record against the spread this season when favored by 3 points or more.
In games this year in which it was an underdog by 3 points or more, Michigan State has a 5-6 record against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 11.2 more points per game (150.2) than this game’s total (139).
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 137.5 points per game, 1.5 fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average total Marquette has had set in games this season is 11.2 more points than this outing’s point total.
Spartans games this season have averaged a total of 137.5 points, 1.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Golden Eagles have put together a 23-12-0 record against the spread.
The Spartans are 16-16-0 against the spread this year.
Marquette Stats & Insights
Marquette averages 79.9 points per game (19th in college basketball) while allowing 70.3 per contest (185th in college basketball). It has a +335 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 9.6 points per game.
Marquette is 333rd in college basketball at 28.4 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 fewer than the 32.5 its opponents average.
The Golden Eagles connect on 8.9 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball), 1.3 more than their opponents (7.6). They are shooting 35.1% from deep (124th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.1%.
Marquette puts up 102.2 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions (129th in college basketball).
Offensively, the Golden Eagles have fared better in home games this year, putting up 83.3 points per game, compared to 79.7 per game in away games.
Michigan State Stats & Insights
Michigan State puts up 70.3 points per game (204th in college basketball) while giving up 67.2 per contest (88th in college basketball). It has a +98 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 3.1 points per game.
Michigan State wins the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. It collects 32.1 rebounds per game, 157th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.4.
Michigan State connects on 7.4 three-pointers per game (181st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7. It shoots 39.4% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.6%.
Michigan State ranks 127th in college basketball averaging 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 169th, allowing 91.4 points per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Spartans are scoring 1.6 more points per game at home (70.6) than away (69).
Marquette Key Players to Watch
Kam Jones leads the Golden Eagles in scoring, tallying 15.1 points per game to go with 3.5 rebounds and 2 assists.
Oso Ighodaro leads Marquette in rebounding, averaging 5.9 per game, while Tyler Kolek leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 7.5 in each contest.
The Golden Eagles get the most three-point shooting production out of Jones, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
Kolek and Ighodaro lead Marquette on the defensive end, with Kolek leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Ighodaro in blocks averaging 1.5 per contest.
Michigan State Key Players to Watch
Tyson Walker is the top scorer for the Spartans with 14.5 points per game. He also tacks on 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game to his scoring output.
Joey Hauser has a stat line of seven rebounds, 14.3 points and 1.9 assists per game for Michigan State to take the top rebound spot on the team. A.J Hoggard has the top spot for assists with six per game, adding 12.5 points and 3.8 rebounds per outing.
Hauser is reliable from deep and leads the Spartans with 2.3 made threes per game.
Walker (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Michigan State while Mady Sissoko (0.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Marquette vs. Michigan State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Michigan State (+3)
- Pick OU:
Over (139)
- Prediction:
Marquette 73, Michigan State 70
How to Bet on Marquette vs. Michigan State
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