UConn vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round

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UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Second Round

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (26-8) take to the court against the No. 5 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (27-7) with a Sweet 16 berth in the West Region of the bracket up for grabs on Sunday at MVP Arena. UConn is a 4-point favorite to advance in this second round matchup, which airs on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of 125 points.

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds

  • UConn odds to win: -190
  • Saint Mary’s (CA) odds to win: +160
  • Spread: UConn (-4)
  • Total: 125

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • TV: TNT
  • Where: Albany, New York
  • Venue: MVP Arena

Who Will Win UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)?

UConn and Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

UConn has a 16-10 record against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.

The Huskies and Gaels average 24.8 more points between them than the total of 125 for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 124.9 points per game, 0.1 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The average over/under UConn has had in its matchups this season is 18.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.

Gaels games this year have averaged an over/under of 131 points, six more than the point total in this matchup.

The Huskies have a 21-12-0 record against the spread this season.

The Gaels are 18-13-2 against the spread this season.

UConn Stats & Insights

UConn has a +467 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.7 points per game. It is putting up 78.7 points per game to rank 28th in college basketball and is allowing 65 per outing to rank 41st in college basketball.

UConn prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 10 boards. It is grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.1 per contest.

The Huskies hit 9.1 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball) while shooting 35.9% from deep (86th in college basketball). They are making 4.1 more threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 5 per game while shooting 30.4%.

UConn averages 101.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (14th in college basketball), and gives up 83.7 points per 100 possessions (16th in college basketball).

At home, the Huskies are scoring 13.2 more points per game (83.3) than they are on the road (70.1).

Saint Mary’s (CA) Stats & Insights

Saint Mary’s (CA) outscores opponents by 11.2 points per game (posting 71.1 points per game, 190th in college basketball, and giving up 59.9 per outing, fifth in college basketball) and has a +383 scoring differential.

Saint Mary’s (CA) pulls down 32.5 rebounds per game (127th in college basketball) while allowing 26 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.5 boards per game.

Saint Mary’s (CA) connects on 7.6 three-pointers per game (149th in college basketball), 2.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 36.6% from beyond the arc (54th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 32.6%.

Saint Mary’s (CA) ranks 31st in college basketball with 99.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 21st defensively with 84 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, the Gaels score 74.8 points per game. On the road, they score 70.

UConn Key Players to Watch

Adama Sanogo leads the Huskies in scoring and rebounding, tallying 17.1 points and 7.4 boards per game.

Tristen Newton is UConn’s best passer, dispensing 4.6 assists per game while scoring 10 PPG.

Jordan Hawkins makes more threes per game than any other member of the Huskies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.

Newton is UConn’s leader in steals, averaging 1.1 steals per game, while Donovan Clingan leads them in blocks with 1.8 per contest.

Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Players to Watch

The Gaels’ Logan Johnson racks up enough points (14.6 per game) and assists (3.6 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.

Mitchell Saxen’s stat line of 7.8 rebounds, 11.8 points and 1.8 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Saint Mary’s (CA) rebounding leaderboard.

Alex Ducas is reliable from distance and leads the Gaels with 2.5 made threes per game.

Saint Mary’s (CA)’s leader in steals is Johnson (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Saxen (1.2 per game).

UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Saint Mary’s (CA) (+4)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (125)

  • Prediction:
    UConn 69, Saint Mary’s (CA) 68

How to Bet on UConn vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.