Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Sweet 16

March 20, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers (25-10) and No. 9 Florida Atlantic Owls (33-3) will face off on Thursday at 9:00 PM, live from Madison Square Garden and airing on TBS, with both teams looking for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight. Oddsmakers have declared Tennessee as the favorite to advance past the Sweet 16 in the East Region bracket, giving the a 5-point edge. The matchup has an over/under set at 129.5 points.

Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Odds

Tennessee odds to win: -217
Florida Atlantic odds to win: +179
Spread: Tennessee (-5)
Total: 129.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 23, 2023
Time: 9:00 PM ET
TV: TBS
Where: New York City, New York
Venue: Madison Square Garden

Who Will Win Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic?

Tennessee and Florida Atlantic Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Tennessee is 15-13 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

Florida Atlantic is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 20.1 more points per game, 149.6, than this game’s over/under of 129.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.6 fewer points per game (122.9) than this game’s over/under of 129.5 points.

The average point total for Tennessee’s games this season is 0.5 fewer points than the over/under of 129.5 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Owls games this year is 14 more points than the point total of 129.5 in this outing.

So far this season, the Volunteers have put together an 18-17-0 record against the spread.

The Owls’ ATS record is 22-12-0 this year.

Tennessee Stats & Insights

Tennessee outscores opponents by 13.4 points per game (scoring 71.2 per game to rank 187th in college basketball while allowing 57.8 per contest to rank third in college basketball) and has a +470 scoring differential overall.

Tennessee is 23rd in the country at 35.5 rebounds per game. That’s 7.3 more than the 28.2 its opponents average.

The Volunteers hit 7.7 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball), 1.9 more than their opponents (5.8).

Tennessee averages 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (157th in college basketball), and gives up 76.8 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).

At home, the Volunteers are putting up 9.6 more points per game (76.7) than they are in road games (67.1).

Florida Atlantic Stats & Insights

Florida Atlantic outscores opponents by 13.3 points per game (posting 78.4 points per game, 32nd in college basketball, and giving up 65.1 per outing, 42nd in college basketball) and has a +479 scoring differential.

Florida Atlantic wins the rebound battle by an average of 5.6 boards. It grabs 35.9 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.3.

Florida Atlantic connects on 3.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 9.7 (12th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.

Florida Atlantic’s 101 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 17th in college basketball, and the 83.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 18th in college basketball.

At home the Owls are scoring 82.1 points per game, 6.2 more than they are averaging away (75.9).

Tennessee Key Players to Watch

Santiago Vescovi leads the Volunteers in scoring, tallying 12.7 points per game to go with 4.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

Tennessee’s leading rebounder is Olivier Nkamhoua averaging five boards per game and its best passer is Zakai Zeigler and his 5.4 assists per game.

Vescovi leads the Volunteers in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The Tennessee steals leader is Zeigler, who averages two takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Jonas Aidoo, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.

Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch

Johnell Davis averages 13.9 points per game and is the top scorer for the Owls.

Vladislav Goldin has a stat line of 6.4 rebounds, 10.4 points and 0.4 assists per game for Florida Atlantic to take the top rebound spot on the team. Nicholas Boyd has the top spot for assists with 2.6 per game, adding 8.8 points and 4.1 rebounds per matchup.

Alijah Martin averages two three-pointers per game, the most on the Owls.

Davis (1.6 steals per game) is the steal leader for Florida Atlantic while Goldin (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.