UCLA vs. Gonzaga Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Sweet 16
A Sweet 16 matchup features the No. 2 seed UCLA Bruins (31-5) and the No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (30-5) squaring off with a place in the West Region bracket final on the line on Thursday at T-Mobile Arena. UCLA is a 1-point favorite in the NCAA Tournament contest, which tips off at 9:45 PM on CBS. The point total is set at 145 in the matchup.
UCLA vs. Gonzaga Odds
- UCLA odds to win: -117
- Gonzaga odds to win: -104
- Spread: UCLA (-1)
- Total: 145
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 23, 2023
- Time: 9:45 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Who Will Win UCLA vs. Gonzaga?
UCLA and Gonzaga Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
UCLA has a 19-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 1 point or more.
Gonzaga has a 1-2 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
These teams average a combined 161.4 points per game, 16.4 more points than the over/under of 145 set for this game.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 133.3 points per game, 11.7 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
The average point total in UCLA’s games this year is 10.7 fewer points than the over/under of 145 in this matchup.
Bulldogs games this season have averaged an over/under of 160.3 points, 15.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Bruins have compiled a 20-15-1 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Bulldogs have compiled a 14-20-0 record against the spread.
UCLA Stats & Insights
UCLA has a +501 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.9 points per game. It is putting up 74.1 points per game to rank 120th in college basketball and is allowing 60.2 per outing to rank sixth in college basketball.
UCLA is 135th in the country at 32.4 rebounds per game. That’s 3.5 more than the 28.9 its opponents average.
The Bruins knock down 6.1 three-pointers per game (311th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.5. They shoot 34.8% from deep while their opponents hit 31% from long range.
UCLA ranks 64th in college basketball by averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is fourth in college basketball, allowing 79.8 points per 100 possessions.
The Bruins are posting 77.8 points per game this season when playing at home, which is eight more points than they’re averaging on the road (69.8).
Gonzaga Stats & Insights
Gonzaga puts up 87.3 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 73.1 per outing (268th in college basketball). It has a +497 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 14.2 points per game.
Gonzaga wins the rebound battle by 5.6 boards on average. It records 33.9 rebounds per game, 57th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.3.
Gonzaga hits 7.7 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball) at a 38.7% rate (eighth-best in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make, shooting 34.7% from deep.
Gonzaga ranks first in college basketball with 109.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 174th defensively with 91.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Bulldogs are scoring 8.1 more points per game at home (92.9) than on the road (84.8).
UCLA Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bruins is Jaime Jaquez Jr., who accumulates 17.5 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
Tyger Campbell leads UCLA in assists, averaging 4.8 per game while also scoring 13.4 points per contest.
The Bruins get the most three-point shooting production out of David Singleton, who knocks down two threes per game.
Jaylen Clark and Adem Bona lead UCLA on the defensive end, with Clark leading the team in steals averaging 2.6 per game and Bona in blocks averaging 1.7 per contest.
Gonzaga Key Players to Watch
Drew Timme is at the top of almost all of the Bulldogs’ leaderboards by averaging 21.1 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game.
Julian Strawther is dependable from deep and leads the Bulldogs with 2.2 made threes per game.
Gonzaga’s leader in steals is Anton Watson (1.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Timme (one per game).
UCLA vs. Gonzaga Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
UCLA 74, Gonzaga 73
How to Bet on UCLA vs. Gonzaga
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