Creighton vs. San Diego State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Elite Eight

March 25, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The No. 6 seed Creighton Bluejays (24-12) and No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (30-6) will face off for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four on Sunday at KFC Yum! Center. Creighton is more likely to win the South Region bracket with oddsmakers installing the as 2.5-point favorites for the contest, which starts at 2:20 PM, airing on CBS. The point total is 134.5 for the matchup.

Creighton vs. San Diego State Odds

Creighton odds to win: -146
San Diego State odds to win: +123
Spread: Creighton (-2.5)
Total: 134.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, March 26, 2023
Time: 2:20 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: Louisville, Kentucky
Venue: KFC Yum! Center

Who Will Win Creighton vs. San Diego State?

Creighton and San Diego State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, Creighton is 15-13 against the spread.

When it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this year, San Diego State is 2-1 against the spread.

The Bluejays and the Aztecs combine to average 14.4 more points per game than the over/under of 134.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 131.8 points per game, 2.7 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

Creighton’s average point total in matchups this year is 145.7, 11.2 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average point total for the Aztecs this year is 0.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Bluejays have gone 19-17-0 ATS this season.

The Aztecs’ ATS record is 18-16-1 this year.

Creighton Stats & Insights

Creighton’s +298 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 77 points per game (55th in college basketball) while giving up 68.7 per outing (136th in college basketball).

Creighton grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (40th in college basketball) while conceding 30.6 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.1 boards per game.

The Bluejays connect on 8.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball), 2.5 more than their opponents (6.3). They are shooting 35.8% from deep (87th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.8%.

Creighton’s 100.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 26th in college basketball, and the 89.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 118th in college basketball.

In home games, the Bluejays are scoring 6.8 more points per game (79.3) than they are in away games (72.5).

San Diego State Stats & Insights

San Diego State outscores opponents by 8.8 points per game (posting 71.9 points per game, 175th in college basketball, and giving up 63.1 per outing, 25th in college basketball) and has a +315 scoring differential.

San Diego State wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.9 boards. It collects 33.3 rebounds per game (85th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.4.

San Diego State makes 7 three-pointers per game (220th in college basketball) at a 34.9% rate (138th in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 its opponents make, shooting 28.3% from deep.

San Diego State’s 95.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 120th in college basketball, and the 84.2 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 23rd in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Aztecs are averaging 6.5 more points per game at home (75.4) than away (68.9).

Creighton Key Players to Watch

Ryan Kalkbrenner leads the Bluejays in scoring, tallying 15.9 points per game to go with 6.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

Creighton’s leading rebounder is Baylor Scheierman averaging 8.3 boards per game and its best passer is Ryan Nembhard and his 4.9 assists per game.

Scheierman makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bluejays, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

The Creighton steals leader is Trey Alexander, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Kalkbrenner, who compiles 2.1 rejections per contest.

San Diego State Key Players to Watch

Matt Bradley is the top scorer for the Aztecs with 12.8 points per game. He also tacks on 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game to his scoring output.

Nathan Mensah puts up a stat line of 5.9 rebounds, 6.1 points and 0.6 assists per game for San Diego State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Lamont Butler has the top spot for assists with 3.4 per game, adding 8.5 points and 2.7 rebounds per matchup.

Adam Seiko makes 1.6 three-pointers per game, the most on the Aztecs.

Butler (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for San Diego State while Mensah (1.6 blocks per game) is the block leader.