Texas vs. Miami (FL) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Elite Eight

March 25, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

An Elite Eight matchup features the No. 2 seed Texas Longhorns (29-8) and the No. 5 seed Miami Hurricanes (28-7) squaring off with a trip to the Final Four up for grabs on Sunday at T-Mobile Center. Texas is a 3.5-point favorite in the NCAA Tournament Midwest Region bracket final, which tips off at 5:05 PM on CBS. The matchup has a point total of 148.

Texas vs. Miami (FL) Odds

Texas odds to win: -187
Miami (FL) odds to win: +155
Spread: Texas (-3.5)
Total: 148

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, March 26, 2023
Time: 5:05 PM ET
TV: CBS
Where: Kansas City, Missouri
Venue: T-Mobile Center

Who Will Win Texas vs. Miami (FL)?

Texas and Miami (FL) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Texas has a 13-13 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.

When it has played as at least a 3.5-point underdog this season, Miami (FL) is 5-0 against the spread.

The Longhorns and Hurricanes average 9.3 more points between them than the over/under of 148 for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 139 points per game, nine fewer than the point total in this game.

Texas’ average point total in outings this year is 145.2, 2.8 points below the total in this game.

The average point total for the Hurricanes this season is three points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Longhorns have gone 19-17-0 ATS this season.

So far this season, the Hurricanes have put together a 21-14-0 record against the spread.

Texas Stats & Insights

Texas outscores opponents by 10.6 points per game (scoring 77.9 per game to rank 38th in college basketball while giving up 67.3 per contest to rank 94th in college basketball) and has a +391 scoring differential overall.

The 32 rebounds per game Texas averages rank 163rd in the country. Its opponents collect 31 per outing.

The Longhorns connect on 7.1 three-pointers per game (210th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.4. They shoot 34.4% from deep while their opponents hit 32.5% from long range.

Texas ranks 48th in college basketball by averaging 99.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 42nd in college basketball, allowing 85.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Longhorns are scoring 84.8 points per game this year in home games, which is 15.4 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (69.4).

Miami (FL) Stats & Insights

Miami (FL) has a +270 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.7 points per game. It is putting up 79.4 points per game, 21st in college basketball, and is giving up 71.7 per outing to rank 232nd in college basketball.

The 32.5 rebounds per game Miami (FL) accumulates rank 126th in the country, 3.2 more than the 29.3 its opponents grab.

Miami (FL) knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.6 on average.

Miami (FL) ranks 10th in college basketball with 102.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 198th defensively with 92.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, the Hurricanes score 83.4 points per game. On the road, they average 75.2.

Texas Key Players to Watch

The Longhorns leader in points and assists is Marcus Carr, who puts up 15.8 points per game to go with 4.1 assists.

Texas’ best rebounder is Timmy Allen, who averages 5.6 boards per game in addition to his 10.3 PPG average.

Carr makes more threes per game than any other member of the Longhorns, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.1 per contest.

Carr and Dylan Disu lead Texas on the defensive end, with Carr leading the team in steals averaging 1.7 per game and Disu in blocks averaging 1.3 per contest.

Miami (FL) Key Players to Watch

Isaiah Wong’s points (16.3 per game) and assists (3.3 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Hurricanes’ leaderboards.

Norchad Omier is at the top of the Miami (FL) rebounding leaderboard with 10.1 rebounds per game. He also racks up 13.3 points and adds 1.3 assists per game.

Nijel Pack averages 2.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Hurricanes.

Miami (FL)’s leader in steals is Jordan Miller (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Omier (1.2 per game).