San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Final Four
The San Diego State Aztecs (31-6) will square off against the Florida Atlantic Owls (35-3) for a spot in the NCAA Tournament National Championship game. San Diego State is a 2.5-point favorite to win this Final Four matchup, which tips off on Saturday at 6:09 PM at NRG Stadium (airing on CBS). The over/under for the matchup is set at 130.5.
San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Odds
- San Diego State odds to win: -146
- Florida Atlantic odds to win: +123
- Spread: San Diego State (-2.5)
- Total: 130.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
- Time: 6:09 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Houston, Texas
- Venue: NRG Stadium
Who Will Win San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic?
San Diego State and Florida Atlantic Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
San Diego State has a 15-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
Florida Atlantic has a 3-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
The Aztecs and the Owls combine to average 19 more points per game than the over/under of 130.5 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 128 points per game, 2.5 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.
The average point total for San Diego State’s games this season is 3.9 more points than the total of 130.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for the Owls this year is 12.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, the Aztecs have put together a 19-16-1 record against the spread.
The Owls have gone 24-12-0 ATS this season.
San Diego State Stats & Insights
San Diego State averages 71.5 points per game (182nd in college basketball) while allowing 62.9 per contest (24th in college basketball). It has a +316 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.6 points per game.
San Diego State wins the rebound battle by 4.9 boards on average. It records 33.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 79th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.5 per contest.
The Aztecs hit 6.9 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.2 on average.
San Diego State averages 95.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (128th in college basketball), and gives up 84.1 points per 100 possessions (22nd in college basketball).
The Aztecs are averaging 75.4 points per game at home. In road games, they are averaging 68.9 points per contest.
Florida Atlantic Stats & Insights
Florida Atlantic has a +489 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.9 points per game. It is putting up 78 points per game, 36th in college basketball, and is giving up 65.1 per contest to rank 42nd in college basketball.
Florida Atlantic is 12th in the country at 36.1 rebounds per game. That’s 6.2 more than the 29.9 its opponents average.
Florida Atlantic knocks down 9.6 three-pointers per game (14th in college basketball), three more than its opponents.
Florida Atlantic puts up 100.6 points per 100 possessions (21st in college basketball), while conceding 84 points per 100 possessions (21st in college basketball).
At home, the Owls score 82.1 points per game. On the road, they score 75.9.
San Diego State Key Players to Watch
The Aztecs scoring leader is Matt Bradley, who averages 12.5 per contest to go with 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
Nathan Mensah is San Diego State’s leading rebounder, pulling down 5.9 per game, while Lamont Butler is its best passer, averaging 3.3 assists in each contest.
Adam Seiko leads the Aztecs in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The San Diego State steals leader is Butler, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Mensah, who compiles 1.7 rejections per contest.
Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch
Johnell Davis racks up 13.9 points per game to be the top scorer for the Owls.
Florida Atlantic’s leader in rebounds is Vladislav Goldin with 6.6 per game, and its leader in assists is Nicholas Boyd with 2.5 per game.
Alijah Martin is the top scorer from distance for the Owls, hitting two threes per game.
Florida Atlantic’s leader in steals is Davis with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Goldin with 1.2 per game.
San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Florida Atlantic (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (130.5)
- Prediction:
San Diego State 70, Florida Atlantic 68
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How to Bet on San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic
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