UConn vs. Miami (FL) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Final Four

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UConn vs. Miami (FL) Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round Final Four

College Basketball Predictions

A Final Four matchup in the NCAA Tournament will see the No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (29-8) and the No. 5 seed Miami Hurricanes (29-7) hit the court on Saturday at 8:49 PM at NRG Stadium (airing on CBS) with a place in the National Championship game up for grabs. UConn is a 5.5-point favorite to survive and advance to the championship game. The over/under in the matchup is 149.

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Odds

  • UConn odds to win: -252
  • Miami (FL) odds to win: +204
  • Spread: UConn (-5.5)
  • Total: 149

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Time: 8:49 PM ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Where: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium

Who Will Win UConn vs. Miami (FL)?

UConn and Miami (FL) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, UConn is 15-8 against the spread.

Miami (FL) is 3-0 against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 9.4 more points per game, 158.4, than this matchup’s total of 149 points.

UConn and Miami (FL) have seen their opponents average a combined 12.7 fewer points per game than the point total of 149 set in this game.

The average total UConn has had set in games this season is 5.8 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

Hurricanes games this season have averaged an over/under of 151.5 points, 2.5 more than the point total in this matchup.

The Huskies are 24-12-0 ATS this season.

The Hurricanes have a 22-14-0 record against the spread this year.

UConn Stats & Insights

UConn outscores opponents by 14.4 points per game (scoring 78.8 per game to rank 27th in college basketball while giving up 64.4 per outing to rank 35th in college basketball) and has a +533 scoring differential overall.

The 36.3 rebounds per game UConn averages rank 10th in the nation, and are 10.0 more than the 26.3 its opponents collect per contest.

The Huskies connect on 9.1 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball) while shooting 36.3% from deep (67th in college basketball). They are making 4.2 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 4.9 per game while shooting 29.7%.

UConn ranks 12th in college basketball by averaging 101.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 12th in college basketball, allowing 83.2 points per 100 possessions.

When playing at home, the Huskies are averaging 13.2 more points per game (83.3) than they are on the road (70.1).

Miami (FL) Stats & Insights

Miami (FL) has a +277 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.7 points per game. It is putting up 79.6 points per game, 21st in college basketball, and is giving up 71.9 per contest to rank 236th in college basketball.

Miami (FL) wins the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. It collects 32.2 rebounds per game, 147th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.1.

Miami (FL) makes 7.5 three-pointers per game (166th in college basketball) at a 36.9% rate (40th in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.4% from deep.

Miami (FL) averages 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and concedes 92.6 points per 100 possessions (213th in college basketball).

At home the Hurricanes are scoring 83.4 points per game, 8.2 more than they are averaging on the road (75.2).

UConn Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Huskies is Adama Sanogo, who accumulates 17.1 points and 7.5 rebounds per game.

Andre Jackson leads UConn in assists, averaging 4.7 per game while also scoring 6.8 points per contest.

Jordan Hawkins leads the Huskies in three-point shooting, making an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.

Tristen Newton and Donovan Clingan lead UConn on the defensive end, with Newton leading the team in steals averaging 1.1 per game and Clingan in blocks averaging 1.8 per contest.

Miami (FL) Key Players to Watch

Isaiah Wong collects 16.2 points and tacks on 3.2 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Hurricanes’ leaderboards in those statistics.

Norchad Omier grabs 10.1 rebounds per game (he also scores 13.3 points per game and adds 1.3 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Miami (FL) rebounding leaderboard.

Nijel Pack is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Hurricanes, hitting 2.5 threes per game.

Miami (FL)’s leader in steals is Jordan Miller (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Omier (1.2 per game).

UConn vs. Miami (FL) Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    UConn (-5.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (149)

  • Prediction:
    UConn 77, Miami (FL) 71

How to Bet on UConn vs. Miami (FL)

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.