UConn vs. San Diego State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Round National Championship

The No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (30-8) are 7-point favorites to win the NCAA Tournament National Championship against the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) on Monday at NRG Stadium. The matchup tips at 9:20 PM and airs on CBS. The matchup has a point total of 131.5.

UConn vs. San Diego State Odds

• UConn odds to win: -366
• San Diego State odds to win: +288
• Spread: UConn (-7)
• Total: 131.5

UConn vs. San Diego State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
• Time: 9:20 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Where: Houston, Texas
• Venue: NRG Stadium

Who Will Win UConn vs. San Diego State?

UConn and San Diego State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season it was favored by 7 points or more, UConn has a 12-6 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 18.6 more points per game (150.1) than this game’s over/under of 131.5 points.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 127.4 points per game, 4.1 fewer than the point total in this game.

UConn’s average point total in matchups this year is 142.9, 11.4 points higher than the total in this game.

The average total in Aztecs games this season is 3.1 more points than the point total of 131.5 in this outing.

The Huskies’ ATS record is 25-12-0 this season.

The Aztecs are 19-17-1 ATS this season.

UConn Stats & Insights

UConn is outscoring opponents by 14.3 points per game with a +546 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.6 points per game (30th in college basketball) and gives up 64.3 per contest (34th in college basketball).

UConn wins the rebound battle by 10.1 boards on average. It collects 36.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.3 per outing.

The Huskies connect on 9.1 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball) at a 36.3% rate (67th in college basketball), compared to the 4.9 per game their opponents make at a 29.8% rate.

UConn’s 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in college basketball, and the 83 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 10th in college basketball.

Offensively, the Huskies have played better in home games this year, putting up 83.3 points per game, compared to 70.1 per game when playing on the road.

San Diego State Stats & Insights

San Diego State’s +317 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.5 points per game (182nd in college basketball) while giving up 63.1 per outing (25th in college basketball).

San Diego State averages 33.4 rebounds per game (79th in college basketball) while conceding 28.6 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.8 boards per game.

San Diego State hits 7 three-pointers per game (220th in college basketball) at a 35.1% rate (122nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.2 its opponents make, shooting 28.2% from deep.

San Diego State averages 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (126th in college basketball), and concedes 84.5 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Aztecs are averaging 6.5 more points per game at home (75.4) than on the road (68.9).

UConn Key Players to Watch

The Huskies leader in points and rebounds is Adama Sanogo, who scores 17.2 points and pulls down 7.6 rebounds per game.

UConn’s best passer is Andre Jackson, who averages 4.7 assists per game to go with his 6.8 PPG scoring average.

Jordan Hawkins leads the Huskies in three-point shooting, making an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jackson and Donovan Clingan lead UConn on the defensive end, with Jackson leading the team in steals averaging 1.1 per game and Clingan in blocks averaging 1.8 per contest.

San Diego State Key Players to Watch

Matt Bradley is at the top of the Aztecs scoring leaderboard with 12.7 points per game. He also collects 3.8 rebounds and averages 2.1 assists per game.

Nathan Mensah puts up a stat line of 5.9 rebounds, 6.1 points and 0.6 assists per game for San Diego State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Lamont Butler holds the top spot for assists with 3.3 per game, adding 8.7 points and 2.7 rebounds per contest.

Bradley is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Aztecs, hitting 1.5 threes per game.

Butler (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for San Diego State while Mensah (1.7 blocks per game) is the block leader.

UConn vs. San Diego State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  San Diego State (+7)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (131.5)
  

• Prediction:
  UConn 71, San Diego State 68

How to Bet on UConn vs. San Diego State

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