You know you are a huge baseball nerd when one of your favorite, and heavily-anticipated, annual topics is a dig into minor league park factors!
Thanks to Ashley Marshall at MiLB.com, we get a peak at how each of the Low-A, High-A, AA, and AAA leagues shake out – are they pitching-friendly? homer-prone? etc. – as well as each team’s individual ballpark. You are encouraged to dig into each piece, and see what’s what.
Among the highlights:
The Pacific Coast League – where the Iowa Cubs play – remains the most offensively-inclined league above A-Ball, and is second only to the California League (Low-A) in runs scored per game (well, above the rookie leagues, which vary wildly). Thing is, the PCL is skewed by the western ballparks that are far, far more offense-friendly than the parks in the Midwest. Principal Park, where the Iowa Cubs play, is actually among the least homer-friendly parks, and is 13th (out of 18) in the league with a 0.862 park factor for runs (1.000 is neutral, above means offense-friendly, below means pitching-friendly) since 2010. So, when evaluating Cubs positional prospects, don’t automatically say “but PCL” when a Cubs prospect has a great year at AAA. (But, on the flip side, keep it in mind with pitchers who surprise.)
The Southern League – where the Tennessee Smokies play – is one of the most pitching-friendly leagues in baseball, averaging just 4.4 runs per game (10th out of 13 leagues above rookie ball). In a reverse of the PCL/Iowa Cubs situation, the Smokies play in the most offensively-inclined park in the league, however (1.123 park factor for runs). Balancing it out, I suspect that offensive and pitching performances on the Smokies can be judged largely on their face, with perhaps a touch of eyebrow raising for eye-popping offensive performances (and/or surprisingly poor pitching performances).
The Florida State League is the single most pitching-friendly league in baseball at just 4.2 runs per game. Jackie Robinson Ballpark – where the Daytona Cubs play – is pretty much neutral for the league, so you can regard Daytona Cubs stats while keeping in mind that it’s an offensively-challenged league.
The Midwest League is yet another pitching-friendly league, at just 4.5 runs per game. Fifth Third Bank Ballpark – where the Kane County Cougars play – skews slightly pitcher-friendly, so you can factor that into your thoughts when evaluating the performances of prospects there.
An interesting trend for Cubs prospects as they climb the ladder? Things likely get more and more hitter-friendly as players climb the ladder, with a pretty clear difference between the Cubs’ ballpark in the FSL and the Smokies’ ballpark in the Southern League.
Keep in mind that none of these distinctions are extreme. The Cubs don’t play in any ballparks that dramatically skew numbers, and the league differences are generally subtle. Great years are great years, and dog-crap years are dog-crap. But, at the margins, understanding the leagues and the park factors can provide something of a tie-breaker in your personal analysis.
Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here.
Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.
CUBS LINEUP — The Cubs won again last night, which means they've already won the season-series against the still-struggling Astros. Justin Verlander will be on the bump for today's finale, but he'll have to go up against the mighty Javier...
Brennen Davis made his return to Triple-A last night, and of course, he managed to smack a three-run home run in an 8-2 win for the Iowa Cubs. That and more in today's Cubs Farm Report. Cubs Farm Report |...
It's a pretty big day for the Chicago Bears, eh? For the second year in a row, they own the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. Only this time, they actually plan to use it (and on a quarterback,...
That's a geographic mouthful right there, and it underscores what an interesting signing this is. Stray signings throughout the year are not uncommon, particularly as injuries accumulate down on the farm and the Chicago Cubs have the ability to take...
Once a month since August of 2016, my friends and I get together for "Supper Club." It's like book club, but instead of reading books, we go to a different restaurant in the city. Last night, we hit our 77th...
The Cubs did all their scoring in the first, and made it stand up for the win with generally good pitching and generally good defense. Jameson Taillon looked solid again in his second start, locating well, giving up no barrels,...
For the second straight night, the Cubs are jumping all over the Astros in the first inning. After a couple hits from Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ to get things going, Michael Busch hit a sac fly, Christopher Morel walked,...
What a road it's been - continues to be - for Cubs outfield prospect Brennen Davis. The former top prospect was on a rocket ship to Triple-A in 2021, and then mostly lost the last two years to various injuries....
So much for all those words of optimism and negative X-rays. After colliding with the outfield wall last night, Cody Bellinger fractured his rib (Update: It's actually TWO fractured right ribs) and will hit the injured list today. Chicago Cubs...
CUBS LINEUP — The Chicago Cubs took Game 1 against the Houston Astros in convincing fashion last night. So tonight, they'll go for the quick series win against Spencer Arrighetti at Wrigley Field (it'd be a good idea to win...
If you're looking for chaos on NFL Draft day, you just might get it. And leave it to the script-writers to get a team out in Hollywood involved. Here is a scoop from The Athletic's Dianna Russini, who hears the...
A three-game series featuring the Detroit Tigers and the visiting Kansas City Royals will start on Friday, April 26 at 1:10 PM ET.Tigers vs. Royals Series Info Royals @ Tigers Time: Friday, April 26 at 1:10 PM ET Tigers Starting...
NFL Draft followers seem to have settled on four quarterbacks going somewhere in the top 10 picks. Many appear to think that we could get a draft with quarterbacks going 1, 2, 3, 4 in succession at the top. Others...
The 2024 NFL Draft begins TODAY. Chicago Bears General Manager Ryan Poles, Assistant GM Ian Cunningham, Head Coach Matt Eberflus, and others will put their heads together to come up with a winning plan for the team’s four picks (Nos....
The Dallas Cowboys enter the 2024 offseason with the familiar feeling of championship aspirations. Dak Prescott is healthy, the skill positions are loaded, but the offensive line, once a strength, is in flux. With the 24th overall pick in the...
With the invigorating spirit of a new baseball season upon us, igniting hope and anticipation within fan communities, it's the perfect time to embark on a unique exploration: a 2024 MLB Mock Draft. Numerous mock drafts meticulously analyze potential player...
The Philadelphia 76ers will go up against the New York Knicks in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.These teams match up for the second straight game after the Knicks took down the 76ers 104-101 on Monday....
To beat his 3-point over/under, Donovan Mitchell needs to make four from beyond the arc on Thursday, when his Cleveland Cavaliers face the Orlando Magic in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA playoffs, beginning at 7:00 PM...
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA playoffs, it'll be the Cleveland Cavaliers against the Orlando Magic -- with Caris LeVert needing to score just once from beyond the arc to...
To beat his 3-point over/under, Josh Hart needs to make two from beyond the arc on Thursday, when his New York Knicks play the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA playoffs, starting at 7:30...