Yesterday, a good friend of mine got engaged and it was not until the very moment I walked into his post-engagement celebration party and said my congratulations that I was immediately met with the news that the Cubs had signed the top free agent starting pitcher of the offseason, Yu Darvish, to a six-year, $126M deal.
We had joked throughout the offseason that it was going to go down like that (when I was seeing Hamilton, when Brett was getting surgery, when Luis was backstage at a Taylor Swift concert), but I didn’t think it actually would. Fortunately, Luis and Brett (who was about to depart for his daughter’s birthday party) were on the ball and got you covered with Darvish stuff all day yesterday: the news, the roster/rotation impact, the highlights. Brett also got into the related Jake Arrieta impact a bit this morning.
We’ll have much more on Darvish as the day (and weeks) goes on. But for now … just inject this directly into my veins:
The rival Cubs have thwarted the Brewers' bid for a top starter twice in the past six and a half months. First Quintana at the Trade Deadline, now Darvish.
Darvish became at least the third player to turn down a nine-figure contract offer from the Brewers, joining Prince Fielder and Zack Greinke. I believe the age-old industry adage applies here, if I may: SUCKS TO SUCK, losers. I kid, I kid! But don’t get me or McCalvy wrong, the Brewers did just miss out on a realistic target to fill a position of need during a season in which they wish to contend – they have to brush themselves off and readjust.
According to McCalvy, they remain in the market for another starting pitcher and that includes Jake Arrieta, Lance Lynn, Alex Cobb, Andrew Cashner, and others (i.e., via trade). I suppose, if you were in play for one of the top, most expensive guys, why wouldn’t you be in for the rest?
And as noted, that doesn’t just include free agents:
brewers seem intent on adding a pitcher and are connected to odorizzi and arrieta. cobb and archer, too. lynn would make sense, as well.
My gut says that the Brewers ultimately go the trade route, because it’s the path of least resistance (they definitely have a glut of talented outfielders, but they don’t definitely have the desire/ability to spend what it’ll take to get someone like Arrieta.
But to that end, Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times writes that both the Brewers and the Cardinals have made offers to Arrieta (dun dun dunnnnnn!). I’d still be surprised if the Brewers are willing to pay what it’ll ultimately take to get Arrieta, even if their desire to add in the rotation is (publicly) much larger than the Cardinals … but I can see the Cardinals doing it. They have money to spend, plenty of luxury tax space, and, by signing Arrieta, they wouldn’t have to force Alex Reyes back into the rotation sooner than planned (in fact, they could even then keep him in the bullpen all season long, while addressing their closer/back-end reliever problem for a year in the process). Actually, gross, that’s a really good idea. Hopefully they’re not reading this post right now or hacking into my computer.
(Photo by Scott Kane/Getty Images)
As for the Brewers’ ability to land a starter like Chris Archer before the start of the season, here’s what the Rays were apparently asking for from the Cubs earlier this winter:
Per @thekapman: The #Cubs contacted the #Rays last month regarding a potential trade for SP Chris Archer. Tampa said “Alright we’ll give you Archer and a bench player. We want Russell and Baez.”
Logically, then, it’ll probably take even more than Brett Phillips and Domingo Santana to get a deal done for Archer. From what I can tell, though, asking the Cubs to give up both Javy Baez and Addison Russell is really just a signal that the Rays are unwilling to move Archer – at all – at this time (or, well, at least to the Cubs). That sort of request is not just a high price to pay – in terms of value – but the Rays also had to know full well that it would’ve left the Cubs without a shortstop. It wasn’t a “real” ask. And, thus, the Brewers will be hard pressed to get Archer.
In case you were holding out hope that the Darvish signing was going to kick free agency, at long last, into gear, hold up. Ken Rosenthal writes that while it might spur some activity, Opening Day might be the realistic deadline for many of Scott Boras’ clients. Yeesh.
Rosenthal also writes that the Twins, having missed out on Darvish, are more likely to turn their attention to Lance Lynn and/or Alex Cobb. In addition to the Brewers, Cardinals, and Twins, the Mets, Orioles, Blue Jays, and Phillies are all teams fighting over the remaining, but lesser free agent starters (Andrew Cashner, Jason Vargas, Jaime Garcia, Jeremy Hellickson, and John Lackey).
At MLB.com, Jon Morosi writes that the Dodgers might still be working to add a right-handed starter, and Jake Arrieta could be in play (ditto Lance Lynn and Alex Cobb). Obviously, they’d still have to move some money around to make it happen, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they moved enough to get Cobb into the fold. And remember, the Dodgers’ President, Andrew Friedman, was the Rays GM when the team selected Alex Cobb back in 2006 and for the first three seasons of Cobb’s Major League career (before leaving for Los Angeles). The Yankees, meanwhile, have been monitoring Lance Lynn’s market, but also have to move some money to make it work.
Matt Snyder looks at the qualifying offer do-overs – as in, knowing what they do now, which qualified free agents would have accepted the one-year, $17.4 million offer for 2018 if they could do it again? I think it’s a fun topic, but Brett doesn’t agree with Snyder’s conclusions …
Brett: For me, Greg Holland is an obvious shoulda-accepted (we kinda even thought it back then), with Mike Moustakas and Lance Lynn my other two current guesses for guys who are at risk of not getting a better deal. I think it’s quite clear now that he’s not going to get a monster deal like Davis (whether he got that offer and rejected it or not). Time will tell, but look at what Addison Reed got by waiting – and he wasn’t tied to draft pick comp!
Michael: For me, it’s not as clear on Holland. For one thing, reports suggested that he did get the same 3/$52M offer from the Rockies (the one they gave Wade Davis), so clearly he was right in valuing himself higher than the qualifying offer of one year and $17.4M. Maybe I’m splitting hairs, but the real mistake (I mean, if we’re getting hypothetical, let’s get hypothetical) is not accepting that Rockies deal, if it existed. In other words, he was right to pass up the qualifying offer, he just screwed up after that.
Brett: This is not a response to you, Michael, but since we were going back and forth – isn’t it so much more fun to have discussions like this from the comfort of a fully completed, and fully successful Cubs offseason?
Michael Cerami began covering the Chicago Cubs for Bleacher Nation as a part-time contributor in 2015. One year later, he joined Bleacher Nation full-time, covering the Chicago Cubs and Major League Baseball. Today, Michael runs Bleacher Nation, contributing as a writer (Cubs, MLB) and an editor for all sections of the site, including the Chicago Bears, Bulls, and Blackhawks, as well as MLB, NBA, NHL, and NFL.
In 2019, Michael was the co-host of NBC Sports Chicago's Cubs Post-Game Show Outside the Ivy.
You can find him on Twitter/X @Michael_Cerami
Even with tonight's rainout, the Chicago Cubs are still making some roster moves. When Patrick Wisdom was removed (perfectly healthy) from the I-Cubs game in the 4th inning on Wednesday, we had an idea of what was coming next. When...
The weather wasn't going to cooperate for Jameson Taillon's season debut, and tonight's Cubs-Marlins tilt has been postponed. The game will instead be part of a split-doubleheader this Saturday, with the first game at 1:20pm CT and the second at...
If you're into tracking young pitchers with star potential like I am—as I watch Jack Leiter's debut while typing this column—then you're probably itching to see Pirates top prospect Paul Skenes make his way to Pittsburgh sooner than later. While...
Cubs vs Marlins — Whew! The Cubs got through their first West Coast road trip of the year, and did so with a winning record (5-4) against the Padres, Mariners, and Diamondbacks. They definitely let a couple games slip out...
As the father of a toddler who was sick for an entire week — the same week Brett was out from his back surgery and the Cubs were playing almost exclusively late-night ballgames on the West Coast — I was...
Kevin Alcántara hit his first home run of the season for the Tennessee Smokies last night, and Owen Caissie hit his first Triple-A home run for the Iowa Cubs as Iowa and Tennessee secured victories. The same can't be said...
Given the way the offseason played out for super agent Scott Boras's top available clients - Cody Bellinger, Matt Chapman, Blake Snell, and Jordan Montgomery - you wouldn't be shocked to see some unhappiness behind the scenes. Did Boras overplay...
Hayden Wesneski was the hero of yesterday's finale and series-win over the Arizona Diamondbacks, coming in to clean up Jordan Wicks' (little) mess in the 5th ... and then tossing 4 shutout innings to save an over-used bullpen and help...
Hand up, I really wanted the Cubs to sign reliever Robert Stephenson this offseason. I felt like they could use one more impact arm (accurate), and I felt like Stephenson was one of the best available (about that ... )....
Rays closer Pete Fairbanks has been an extremely effective reliever the last four years, posting a 2.66 ERA from 2020 through 2023, with a 34.8% K rate and worth 4.1 WAR. But things have started out much more rough for...
The Cincinnati Reds (9-9), with Nick Lodolo on the hill, host the Los Angeles Angels (9-10) who will hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.The article below will provide you with everything you need to...
The Sacramento Kings and the New Orleans Pelicans take the court to start the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Kings are favored by 1.5 points in the contest, which airs on TNT at 9:30 PM ET. The over/under...
The Blackhawks put the worst regular season of more than 70 games in the history of the franchise to bed on Thursday night in a manner that sums up the season fairly well. Connor Murphy was banged up and Nikita...
It's a first-round matchup with a history of fireworks! The Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Clippers lock horns once again in the NBA Playoffs. This year marks the third time in five years these two teams meet in the opening...
The NBA Playoffs are here, and the Eastern Conference first-round ignites with a clash of styles. The Indiana Pacers, boasting the league's top-scoring offense, bring their high-octane attack to Milwaukee to face the experienced Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo's status adds further...
Quinn Priester takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-8) when they host starter Brayan Bello and the Boston Red Sox (10-10) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.If you're intending to watch this game, keep reading for streaming and TV...
Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres (11-10) host George Springer and the Toronto Blue Jays (10-9) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.The article below will provide you with everything you need to watch San Diego play Toronto.When is...
Michael Conforto and the San Francisco Giants (9-11) host Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks (9-11) on Friday, with first pitch at 10:15 PM ET.Find out how to watch the San Francisco-Arizona matchup below.When is Giants vs. Diamondbacks and when...
On Friday, Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers (12-9) versus Sean Manaea and the New York Mets (10-8), with first pitch scheduled for 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium.Find out how to watch the Los...
On Friday, April 19 at 8:10 PM ET, a three-game series featuring the Minnesota Twins and the visiting Detroit Tigers will begin.Twins vs. Tigers Series Info Tigers @ Twins Time: Friday, April 19 at 8:10 PM ET Twins Starting Pitcher:...
NEWSLETTER
