The MLB draft is rapidly approaching. It begins on Monday (Boo!) June 4 and continues through Tuesday and Wednesday. Why the ‘Boo!’? Because when the draft started on a Thursday like it used to, I could take just Friday off work and live Tweet the entire draft. It was fun, in a frantic, hectic, Google-ific sort of way. With the draft starting on Monday, though, taking Tuesday and Wednesday off is… complicated. Especially since June 5 is kind of a big day at my day job as well.
As for what the Cubs will be doing in the first round, I don’t think we should look for them to break form. They won’t target high risk players in the first round, and they’ll probably draft according what they see as the priority for the farm system at this time. The past two years that has meant a focus on college pitching both early and throughout the draft. This year, though, that may change.
The Cubs are packed to the gills with pitching in the lower minors. They probably don’t need to relentlessly focus on drafting a ton of college pitchers this year. What they do need, though, is upside. The system has lots of interesting prospects. What it lacks are potential impact prospects. If the Cubs move to address that weakness, we may see them draft more upside plays on Day 1 and 2 of the draft. For example, we might see more high school bats at up the middle positions and excellent college hitters without clear positional homes.
What we won’t see in the first round, I think, is a high school pitcher. High school pitchers are far and away the single most risky players to draft. They can pay off tremendously, eventually, but the risk factor is very high even by normal baseball prospect standards. Given the very depleted state of the Cubs’ farm system, this organization can’t really afford to gamble that first round pick. I think they’ll take an upside play, but I’ll be very surprised if they draft a high school pitcher in the first.
Who will they take? Jim Callis at MLB Pipeline says HS RHP Kumar Rocker. He’s a high-ceiling pitcher, but I doubt he’s the pick. Baseball America projects HS C Anthony Seilger. This pick fits how the Cubs’ have drafted lately more than Rocker, but I’m leaning elsewhere.
The two players I’m watching right now are Oklahoma OF Steele Walker (good pure hitter, could move fast, [Brett: Great name]) and Missouri State SS Jeremy Eierman (good bat speed, promising power, can play up the middle). If both are there, I lean Eierman.
Triple A: Iowa Cubs
Iowa 5, Omaha 3
Another good pitching performance for Iowa.
Double A: Tennessee Smokies
Tennessee 7, Jacksonville 2
Rucker pitched his best game of the season, and the offense took care of the rest.
High A: Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Myrtle Beach 9, Buies Creek 6
The Pelicans outlasted a very good Buies Creek team thanks to very good work by the bullpen.
Low A: South Bend Cubs
South Bend 5, Clinton 1
The Cubs jumped to a three run lead in the first and never looked back.
Other Notes