Fun With Kyle Schwarber's Big Day, Puzzling Results

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Fun With Kyle Schwarber’s Big Day, Puzzling Results

Chicago Cubs

Overall, I think it’s fair to say it has been a disappointing year so far for Kyle Schwarber.

Following a really nice bounceback in 2018 – a developmental step forward, perhaps – Schwarber has been inconsistent this year in the results department, though a lot of that seems like a little less luck on balls in play. His BABIP is an abysmal .249, but he’s hitting the ball in the air, hitting it as hard as he ever has, and even is avoiding soft contact more than ever.

Heck, he leads the Cubs in average exit velocity, and is 12th in baseball:

It’s no surprise then, when it comes to his expected statistics, Schwarber leads the Cubs in the disparity between his actual and expected results. Based on how he’s striking the ball, his results “should” be a whole lot better (29 points of wOBA). This was an issue for him last year, too, which leads me to suspect there is some kind of explanation – directionality and a particular susceptibility to the shift, far beyond other hitters? – but I don’t have my hands around it entirely.

Schwarber gave his line a huge boost yesterday in the results department, though, ripping two homers, adding a single and courageously taking a pitch off his body.

In one late July game, Schwarber raised his line from .221/.310/.463 (96 wRC+) to .228/.317/.484 (103). Not bad for a day’s work.

More from the fun day:

(Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

Author: Brett Taylor

Brett Taylor is the Editor and Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and @Brett_A_Taylor.