Much of the offseason prospect rankings season will come next month and beyond (the pre-2023 lists), but FanGraphs this week offers up an early look at where things will stand on the top 100 front for the Cubs. And where things stand is: quite good!
Eric Longenhagen wrote at FanGraphs about a final 2022 update to his top 100 prospects list, which is available here. There will be more reworking for the pre-2023 period, but this is a great checkpoint in time, even if only from one service, and even if only for the top prospects.
The Cubs prospects who show up in the top 100:
34. Pete Crow-Armstrong
38. Brennen Davis
54. Kevin Alcántara
57. Cristian Hernández
91. James Triantos
100. Owen Caissie
Lotta instant reactions:
- A list that hasn’t given up on Brennen Davis but does have PCA ahead of Davis now. Seems all the more a compliment to PCA.
- Six in the top 100 is excellent, but still none in the top 30 is a reminder of where the imbalance is for the Cubs right now. Tons and tons of quality depth. Not a lot of upper-level, clearly-expected impact.
- Nice to see Triantos and Caissie getting some love after seasons that were really quite strong when you consider the age/level/ballpark context.
- No pitchers in the group, and it looks like Hayden Wesneski might not have gotten a full re-rank (he still shows up as a 40+, below Cubs prospects like Ed Howard, Caleb Kilian, and Miguel Amaya. In other words, for guys who weren’t going to get a huge boost into the top 100, I don’t think they were touched at all. I could make an argument that Wesneski and Alexander Canario (maybe even Matt Mervis, who is currently just a 35+) should’ve gotten top 100 consideration, but I’m stretching a bit. I have no beef with none of them making the list, though I think Wesneski’s showing in the big leagues makes it pretty hard to argue he’s not pretty darn close to top 100 status.
- You no doubt are surprised by the Hernández ranking, which was an INCREASE for him. He was not on the top 100 coming into the season. It’s a surprising bump after an ACL season that saw Hernández hit a meh .261/.320/.357/88 wRC+ with a 30.3% strikeout rate. That said, you care a lot more about the scouting on a guy like Hernández, who is only 18 and who was making his stateside debut. Apparently the scouting must’ve been quite strong (easy to believe if you ever watch Hernández play – he just LOOKS like a future star). Keep in mind, Longenhagen is in Arizona and is at the back fields a whole lot. I would think he has probably seen and discussed Hernández a great deal, so this aggressive ranking seems like a pretty big tip of the cap.