Chicago Cubs Have – By Far – the Best Odds on Carlos Correa?

Betting odds are not always the best barometer of reality, but I do find them an interesting indicator of – if nothing else – where the bets are going.

I put that caution at the top because otherwise you might look at the following odds and think the market knows something we don’t. I mean, that COULD be the case – but it could also just be the case that there are a whole lot of exuberant Cubs fans putting a whole lot of futures dollars on the team landing free agent shortstop Carlos Correa (h/t @Zones2388 on Twitter):

Those odds at DraftKings don’t just have the Cubs as the betting favorite, they have them waaaaaay out in front. The implied odds there would have the Cubs landing Correa about 26% of the time. Do we think the Cubs right now have a 26% chance of signing Carlos Correa?

… you know, actually … I think it might be closer to that number than people think. Or maybe I’m just one of those exuberant Cubs fans who is overestimating their chances to sign him, despite their reported lack of interest in going beyond six years on any free agents.

Then again, the Twins and Cardinals are tied at the second best odds, and that seems … wrong to me? So how much stock can I really place in the Cubs’ placement if I’m not quite buying what comes next?

Then again again, isn’t Correa’s market really hard to predict? Yeah, I could see the Giants or Yankees going for him if they miss on Aaron Judge. I guess I could see the Red Sox going for him if they lose Xander Bogaerts. The Phillies seem to be mostly about Trea Turner. The Braves aren’t doing it. The Dodgers apparently still worry about World Series backlash. It’s hard to peg.

The Cubs are out there talking to shortstop reps, though, so we shall see.

written by

Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here. Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.

more cubs news

Spring Training Miscellany: Another Win, Smyly, Brown, Thompson, Davis, Mastrobuoni, More

The Cubs will (1) never lose this spring, and (2) blow it out every game. Cubs beat the Giants 8-4 on the strength of a few homers (Brennen Davis, David Bote, Chase Strumpf), and pitching that just kinda allowed nothing...

Brennen Davis is Having a DAY, and That Makes Me Happy

We are all hoping that, after two years mostly lost to core/back injuries and surgeries, former top-50 prospect Brennen Davis could find his way back onto the radar this year. Being healthy is the first step. So far, so good...

Cubs vs Giants: Lineups, Pitching Matchup, Broadcast Info, Game Thread

Un-de-fea-ted *clap-clap...clap-clap-clap*. The Chicago Cubs are back on the air this afternoon, with their second Cactus League game of the year. Drew Smyly is taking the mound for the Cubs in this one, looking to claim the vacant fifth spot...

No Rushed Decision on Morel, Wicks, Uniforms, Extremely Elite College Performance, and Other Cubs Bullets

Anyone else have a mental image of Jed Hoyer texting Scott Boras during that game, what with all Pete Crow-Armstrong's valuable antics, and saying, "Hey, never mind ... jk ... or am I? ... " It's all just tongue-in-cheek for...

Spring Training Miscellany: Cubs Win the Spring Opener in a Big Way, Youngsters Shine

The Cubs batted around in the first inning today (six runs, including the Christopher Morel homer), so I think they're ready. Start the season tomorrow. Cubs win 8-1 over the White Sox. It was particularly fun to see Pete Crow-Armstrong...

Pete Crow-Armstrong Just Scored From Second Base … On a Groundball to Third Base

Chicago Cubs prospect Pete Crow-Armstrong is trying to win the center field job right out of Spring Training, and while much of that might actually be outside his control, he's certainly doing his best to impress in the first game...

Christopher Morel Hits the Cubs First Homer of the Spring

The ball will find you, even in Spring Training. The first ball in play of the spring naturally went to Christopher Morel at third base, and he moved ably to his left to glove it, and took his time to...

Cubs Prospect Notes: Davis Healthy, Less-Heralded Guys, Ballesteros, Caissie, Busch, Visuals Aplenty

As we await the first game of the spring, which will undoubtedly feature a number of Cubs prospects later in the game (there are several in the lineup, too), some prospect bits to share ... Brennen Davis was looking good...

Cubs Mentioned with Jordan Montgomery, But I Really Don’t Want to Oversell It, So This is the Headline

Maybe it's because I saw my kid's performance of 'Newsies' last night, but I wanted to be really careful not to shout some salacious headline from the virtual street corner and tell you to READ ALL ABOUT IT! So that's...

Matt Mervis and the Two New Lefty Signings This Week

I think the main takeaway from this week's left-handed-hitting, positionally-limited signings of David Peralta and Dom Smith is that the Cubs are just getting some extra left-handed-hitting bats in the doors in case they have a real crunch by the...

Latest News

Best NBA Prop Bets Today – Sunday, February 25, 2024

In one of the 11 compelling matchups on the NBA slate today, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Houston Rockets square off at Toyota Center.One of the best ways to wager on the NBA is via NBA player prop bets....

Hurricanes vs. Sabres Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Picks – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Carolina Hurricanes are -155 favorites over the Buffalo Sabres (+130) despite their matchup on Sunday being at KeyBank Center in Buffalo.Hurricanes vs. Sabres Favorite, Moneyline, TotalFavorite: Hurricanes (-155)Underdog: Sabres (+130)Total: 6Best Hurricanes vs. Sabres Promo Codes[lasso type="table" id="1" link_id="1416318"]How...

Wagner vs. LIU Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Long Island Sharks (7-19, 6-8 NEC) are underdogs (by 9 points) to break a five-game road losing streak when they visit the Wagner Seahawks (12-13, 6-7 NEC) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET. The matchup has...

Creighton vs. St. John’s Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The No. 15 Creighton Bluejays (20-7, 11-5 Big East) will look to extend a four-game winning streak when they visit the St. John's Red Storm (15-12, 7-9 Big East) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Madison Square Garden as only...

Colgate vs. American Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Colgate Raiders (20-8, 14-1 Patriot League) host the American Eagles (14-14, 8-7 Patriot League) after winning six straight home games. The Raiders are double-digit favorites by 11 points in the contest, which tips at 2:00 PM ET on Sunday,...

Navy vs. Holy Cross Prediction: Picks and Betting Odds – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Navy Midshipmen (9-17, 5-10 Patriot League) are 7-point favorites as they try to end a three-game home losing streak when they take on the Holy Cross Crusaders (9-19, 6-9 Patriot League) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Navy Alumni...

SMU vs. South Florida Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The South Florida Bulls (20-5, 13-1 AAC) host the SMU Mustangs (19-8, 10-4 AAC) after winning 12 home games in a row. The Mustangs are favored by just 1.5 points in the contest, which tips at 12:00 PM ET on...

La Salle vs. Rhode Island Prediction: Picks and Betting Odds – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Rhode Island Rams (11-15, 5-8 A-10) are 3.5-point underdogs as they try to break a three-game losing streak when they visit the La Salle Explorers (13-14, 4-10 A-10) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Tom Gola Arena. The contest...

Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Michigan Wolverines (8-19, 3-13 Big Ten) are big, 13-point underdogs as they look to break a four-game losing streak when they host the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (24-3, 13-3 Big Ten) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Crisler Center....

Rutgers vs. Maryland Prediction: Picks and Betting Odds – Sunday, February 25, 2024

The Maryland Terrapins (14-13, 6-10 Big Ten) are only 2-point underdogs as they try to end a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (14-12, 6-9 Big Ten) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Jersey Mike's...

more cubs news

Latest News