MLB Mock Drafts: Cubs and Meyer, Shaw, Lowder, Teel

We are still a month and a half away from the 2023 MLB Draft, but with amateur seasons drawing closer to their end, the clarity at the top of the draft – as in, which players comprise the top talent (apparently it’s among the best groups in recent memory in the top 5/6, thanks a lot draft lottery). So it’s a good time to look at some of the latest mock drafts, and it’s also a time when we start getting more of them …

  • Kiley McDaniel’s fresh mock at ESPN is a wealth of big picture information on the draft, in addition to some of the individual player scouting bits. You get a good sense for how teams could try to structure their drafts this year to pick up later round talent (in an exceptionally deep pool, you’re more likely to have “first-round-caliber” high schoolers who drop because of bonus demands). You also get some rumors on the Cubs at their mocked pick:
    1. Chicago Cubs
      Noble Meyer, RHP, Jesuit HS (OR)

    I’ve heard the Cubs linked to prep infielder Kevin McGonigle and this is probably the top spot where Florida RHP Hurston Waldrep is in play (who has some similarities to Chicago’s first rounder last year, Cade Horton). Some scouts also think Tommy Troy and (Matt) Shaw are targets here. Meyer, however, has one of the best collection of pitcher traits in recent memory, with other recent comps to him going at least this high. He has true frontline potential but isn’t as polished at this stage as some of the other elite prep arms that have traits of that caliber: Mick Abel, Andrew Painter, Jackson Jobe and Dylan Lesko.

  • If the Cubs wound up with a pitching prospect of the caliber of those four when picking at 13, yeah, I would not be surprised to see them go the rare route and take a high school pitcher in the first round.
  • Keith Law’s first mock draft of the year, which has Meyer going 15th to the White Sox, has the Cubs taking one of the other names mentioned by McDaniel:
  • 13. Chicago Cubs – Matt Shaw, SS, Maryland
    Shaw is one of the best pure hitters in the draft class with metrics to match, something the Cubs are clearly aware of given their choice of Cade Horton with their first pick last year. I could see them going for Stanford shortstop Tommy Troy or Vandy centerfielder Enrique Bradfield Jr., as well.

  • Meanwhile, Jonathan Mayo’s first mock of the year has Rhett Lowder falling to the Cubs:
  • 13. Cubs: Rhett Lowder, RHP, Wake Forest (No. 9)
    He might not have Lowd stuff (sorry, couldn’t resist), but he’s been extremely consistent and has an ERA under 2.00. He’s had back-to-back seven-inning shutouts, which certainly doesn’t hurt his stock.

  • Although Paul Skenes is obviously the top college arm in this draft, some have Lowder as the second best, right there with Chase Dollander. If he’s still on the board at 13, I’m sure the Cubs will have serious interest. Not sure he will be, though, because his season has just gotten better and better.
  • Baseball America’s second mock draft was earlier this month, and if you missed it, and it was a college bat for the Cubs:
    1. Cubs — Kyle Teel, C, Virginia

    The clear-cut best college catcher in the class has been on a rampage all season. He’s hitting .423/.482/.665 with nine home runs and 20 doubles and he has lowered his strikeout rate to 9.2%—though he was never a huge strikeout guy in the first place. It’s an excellent foundation of athleticism with plus arm strength who should benefit from professional catching development. The swing won’t be for everyone, as it’s full of violence and effort, and his approach might need to be toned down in pro ball, but Teel should be the beneficiary of a down catching class and he’s played his way into the middle of the first round.

  • It seems like, in more recent mocks, Teel’s stock has continued to climb as his performance at the plate has continued to shine. And, to the extent you would start to say things like, “But what about Miguel Amaya, Pablo Aliendo, and Moises Ballesteros? Would the Cubs really draft another catcher when three of their top 15/20 prospects are catchers?” Yes. They would. If they think he’s the best value at that spot and they really believe in the bat, they would.
  • written by

    Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here. Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.

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