Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

March 29, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to start their season with a win as home favorites (-169) in a season-opening matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is on Thursday at 10:10 PM ET on SportsNet LA, live from Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles’ Julio Urias and Arizona’s Zac Gallen have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -169
Diamondbacks odds to win: +144
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet LA

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks?

Dodgers and Diamondbacks Betting Trends (2022)

The Dodgers won 69.4% of the games last season they were favored on the moneyline (111-49).

When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -169 or shorter last year, Los Angeles finished with a record of 79-34 (69.9%).

The Diamondbacks were underdogs 120 times last season and won 51, or 42.5%, of those games.

Last season, Arizona won 16 of its 52 games, or 30.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +144 on the moneyline.

The Dodgers combined with their opponents to go over the total 73 times last season for a 73-85-8 record against the over/under.

The Diamondbacks and their opponents hit the over in 74 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Dodgers Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Dodgers had the top offense in MLB play scoring 5.2 runs per game (847 total runs).

Los Angeles averaged 1.3 home runs per game to rank fifth in MLB with 212 total home runs last season.

The Dodgers had the fourth-best batting average in the league (.256).

The club struck out 8.5 times per game, the No. 15 mark in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Dodgers had a collective 9.1 K/9 last season, which ranked fifth in MLB.

Los Angeles’ 2.81 team ERA ranked first across all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights (2022)

The Diamondbacks scored the 14th-most runs in the league last season with 702 (4.3 per game).

Arizona ranked 14th in Major League Baseball with 173 home runs.

The Diamondbacks had a team batting average of just .230 last season, which ranked 26th among MLB teams.

Arizona ranked 11th with an average of 8.3 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks had a 7.7 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 24th in the majors.

Arizona pitched to a 4.26 last season, which ranked 23rd in baseball.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch (2022)

Urias will start for the Dodgers, his first of the season.

Last season, Freddie Freeman drove in 100 runs while batting .322.

Mookie Betts finished with a .533 SLG and 35 homers while driving in 82 runs.

Will Smith finished last season with 24 home runs, 87 RBI and a batting average of .260.

J.D. Martinez collected 146 hits, posted an OBP of .342 and a .448 SLG.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch (2022)

Gallen has been named the starter for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start this season.

Christian Walker accumulated 36 home runs and had 94 runs batted in last season.

Ketel Marte hit .240 with 42 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 58 walks.

Josh Rojas had a batting average of .269 with 119 total hits last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit .291 with 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 32 walks.

Dodgers and Diamondbacks Injuries

Dodgers: Daniel Hudson: 15 Day IL (Knee), Álex Reyes: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Gonsolin: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Ryan Pepiot: 15 Day IL (Oblique), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Diamondbacks: Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Mark Melancon: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 15 Day IL (Lat)