Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

March 29, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres are moneyline favorites (-218) to begin their season with a home win over the Colorado Rockies on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET, live on BSSD.

Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Colorado counter with German Marquez.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds

Padres odds to win: -218
Rockies odds to win: +181
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Rockies?

Padres and Rockies Betting Trends (2022)

The Padres finished 68-51 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 57.1% of those games).

In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter last year, San Diego finished with a record of 12-8 (60%).

Last season, the Rockies won 52 out of the 134 games, or 38.8%, in which they were the underdog.

Last season, Colorado won 12 of its 36 games, or 33.3%, when it was the underdog by at least +181 on the moneyline.

The Padres played in 174 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 84 times (84-85-5).

The Rockies and their opponents hit the over in 74 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Padres Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Padres were the 13th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.4 runs per game (705 total).

San Diego averaged 0.9 home runs per game to rank 21st in MLB with 153 total home runs last season.

The Padres ranked 15th in MLB with a .241 batting average.

The team struck out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-best average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Padres had a collective 9.1 K/9 last season, which ranked fifth in MLB.

San Diego had a 3.82 team ERA that ranked 11th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Rockies Stats & Insights (2022)

The Rockies scored the 15th-most runs in the league last season with 698 (4.3 per game).

Colorado hit 149 homers last season, which ranked 22nd in the majors.

The Rockies had a team batting average of .254 last season, which ranked sixth among MLB teams.

Colorado showed patience at the plate last season, having the 10th-best rate of strikeouts per game (8.2) among MLB offenses.

The Rockies had a 7.5 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 29th in baseball.

Colorado pitchers had a combined ERA of 5.08 last year, which ranked 30th in MLB.

Padres Key Players to Watch (2022)

Snell will take the mound to start for the Padres, his first of the season.

Manny Machado slugged 32 home runs and collected 102 RBI last season while batting .298.

Juan Soto collected 127 hits, posted an OBP of .407, and a .452 SLG.

Xander Bogaerts hit .307 last season with 15 home runs and 73 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth hit .240 with an OBP of .336, and a slugging percentage of .394.

Rockies Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Rockies will send Marquez to the mound for his first start this season.

Jurickson Profar hit .243 last season with 36 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 73 walks.

C.J. Cron had 29 home runs and 102 RBI a season ago.

Charlie Blackmon hit .264 a season ago with 22 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.

Ryan McMahon had 23 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .246.

Padres and Rockies Injuries

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Rockies: Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)