Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

Mar 29, 2023

The Boston Red Sox start their season as home favorites (-124) in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET, live on on NESN from Fenway Park.

Boston’s Corey Kluber and Baltimore’s Kyle Gibson have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -124

Orioles odds to win: +104

Spread: Red Sox -1.5

Total: 8.5 runs

Red Sox vs. Orioles Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Time: 2:10 PM ET

TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Orioles?

Red Sox and Orioles Betting Trends (2022)

The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline 80 total times last season. They finished 48-32 in those games.

Boston had a record of 37-25 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -124 or shorter last year (59.7%).

The Orioles won 64, or 48.5%, of the 132 games they played as underdogs last season.

Last season, Baltimore won 54 of its 113 games, or 47.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +104 on the moneyline.

The Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 76 times last season for a 76-77-9 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Orioles went over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 161 chances last season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Red Sox were the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.5 runs per game (735 total).

Boston averaged one home run per game to rank 20th in the majors with 155 total home runs last season.

The Red Sox’s .258 batting average was third-best in MLB.

The club struck out 8.5 times per game, the No. 14 average in MLB.

The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Red Sox pitching staff last season ranked 19th in the majors.

Boston had a 4.54 team ERA that ranked 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights (2022)

The Orioles ranked 20th in the majors with 674 total runs scored last season.

Baltimore ranked 15th in Major League Baseball with 171 home runs.

The Orioles ranked 20th in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

Baltimore had the 17th-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.6) among MLB offenses.

The Orioles averaged the 25th-most strikeouts per nine innings (7.6) in the big leagues last season.

Baltimore had the 17th-ranked ERA (3.97) in the majors last season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2022)

Kluber will start for the Red Sox, his first of the season.

Last season, Rafael Devers had a .295 batting average with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Alex Verdugo hit .280 with an OBP of .328 and a slugging percentage of .405.

Justin Turner finished with a .278 average, 13 home runs and 81 RBI last season.

Raimel Tapia collected 109 hits, posted an OBP of .292 and a .380 SLG.

Orioles Key Players to Watch (2022)

Gibson will make his first start of the season for the Orioles.

Anthony Santander had 33 home runs and 89 runs batted in last season.

Cedric Mullins hit .258 a season ago with 157 hits.

Ryan Mountcastle hit .250 a season ago with 28 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.

Adley Rutschman had 35 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .254.

Red Sox and Orioles Injuries

Red Sox: Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: James McCann: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), John Means: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)