Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds begin their season as -139 favorites in a home tilt against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, live on BSOH.

Hunter Greene gets the starting nod for Cincinnati while Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds

• Reds odds to win: -139
• Pirates odds to win: +118
• Spread: Reds -1.5
• Total: 8 runs

Reds vs. Pirates Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
• Time: 4:10 PM ET
• TV: BSOH

Who Will Win Reds vs. Pirates?

Reds and Pirates Betting Trends (2022)

The Reds finished with a 12-21 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 36.4% of those games).

Cincinnati had a record of 4-5 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -139 or shorter last year (44.4%).

Last season, the Pirates were the underdog 135 times and won 47, or 34.8%, of those games.

Last season, Pittsburgh won 38 of its 117 games, or 32.5%, when it was the underdog by at least +118 on the moneyline.

The Reds combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 75 times last season for a 75-79-6 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Pirates went over the total set by oddsmakers in 75 of 162 chances last season.

Reds Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Reds were the 23rd-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.0 runs per game (648 total).

Cincinnati averaged 1.0 home run per game to rank 19th in the majors with 156 total home runs last season.

The Reds had the 21st-ranked batting average in MLB (.235).

The team struck out 8.8 times per game to rank 23rd in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Reds had a collective 9.0 K/9 last season, which ranked eighth in the majors.

Cincinnati had the 28th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.86).

Pirates Stats & Insights (2022)

The Pirates were among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 591 total runs (3.6 per game) last season.

Pittsburgh hit 158 homers last season, which ranked 18th in the majors.

The Pirates ranked 29th in MLB with a team batting average of just .222.

Pittsburgh ranked 28th in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

The Pirates had a 7.9 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 22nd in the majors.

Pittsburgh had the 26th-ranked ERA (4.66) in the majors last season.

Reds Key Players to Watch (2022)

Greene will make his first start of the season for the Reds.

Jonathan India finished with a .246 average and 41 RBI last season.

Nick Senzel collected 86 hits, posted an OBP of .296, and a .306 SLG.

TJ Friedl finished with a .240 average, eight home runs and 25 RBI last season.

Jake Fraley finished with a .468 SLG and 12 homers while driving in 28 runs.

Pirates Key Players to Watch (2022)

Keller will make his first start of the season for the Pirates.

Bryan Reynolds racked up a batting average of .262, while hitting 27 home runs last season.

Andrew McCutchen put up 69 runs batted in with 122 hits.

Carlos Santana hit .202 a season ago with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 73 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes had 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 48 walks while batting .244.

Reds and Pirates Injuries

Reds: Nick Senzel: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)

Pirates: Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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