Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 30, 2023

March 29, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins start their season as road favorites (-156) in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, live on on BSKC from Kauffman Stadium.

Pablo Lopez will get the ball for Minnesota while Kansas City counter with Zack Greinke.

Twins vs. Royals Odds

Twins odds to win: -156
Royals odds to win: +133
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSKC

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Royals?

Twins and Royals Betting Trends (2022)

The Twins finished 55-36 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 60.4% of those games).

Minnesota had a record of 25-11 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -156 or shorter last year (69.4%).

The Royals were underdogs 134 times last season and won 52, or 38.8%, of those games.

Kansas City had a record of 20-49, a 29% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +133 or more by oddsmakers last season.

The Twins combined with their opponents to go over the total 73 times last season for a 73-76-12 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Royals went over the total set by sportsbooks in 81 of 161 chances last season.

Twins Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Twins were the 17th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.3 runs per game (696 total).

Minnesota ranked 13th in baseball with 178 total home runs last season.

The Twins had the 11th-ranked batting average in the majors (.248).

The team’s 8.4 strikeouts per game ranked 12th in baseball.

The Twins pitching staff ranked 20th in MLB last season with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Minnesota had the 19th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.98).

Royals Stats & Insights (2022)

The Royals scored the 24th-most runs in the league last season with 640 (4.0 per game).

Kansas City hit just 138 homers last season, which ranked 26th in the league.

The Royals’ .244 batting average ranked 14th in the majors last season.

Kansas City showed patience at the plate last season, having the eighth-best rate of strikeouts per game (7.9) among MLB offenses.

The Royals struck out 7.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Kansas City had the 27th-ranked ERA (4.72) in the majors last season.

Twins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Lopez gets the call to start for the Twins, his first this season.

Royals Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Royals will send out Greinke for his first start of the season.

Twins and Royals Injuries

Twins: Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Royals: Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)