Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

March 31, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (1-0) and George Springer (five hits last time out) are favored (-137) on the moneyline for their matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals (0-1) on Saturday at 2:15 PM ET on BSMW.

Kevin Gausman will get the ball for Toronto while St. Louis will counter with Jack Flaherty.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -137
Cardinals odds to win: +117
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Time: 2:15 PM ET
TV: BSMW

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Cardinals?

Blue Jays and Cardinals Betting Trends (2022)

The Blue Jays won 58.6% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (78-55).

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -137 or shorter last year, Toronto finished with a record of 59-33 (64.1%).

Last season, the Cardinals won 28 out of the 65 games, or 43.1%, in which they were the underdog.

St. Louis had a record of 10-23, a 30.3% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +117 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Blue Jays combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 84 times last season for an 84-74-4 record against the over/under.

The Cardinals and their opponents hit the over in 78 of their 164 games with a total last season.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Blue Jays were the fourth-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.8 runs per game (775 total).

Toronto ranked seventh-best in MLB last season with 200 total home runs.

The Blue Jays lead the majors with a .263 batting average.

Toronto’s batters struck out 7.7 times per game, the sixth-lowest average in MLB.

The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Blue Jays pitching staff last season ranked 12th in MLB.

Toronto’s 3.88 team ERA ranked 14th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Cardinals Stats & Insights (2022)

The Cardinals were among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fifth with 772 total runs last season.

St. Louis ranked ninth in Major League Baseball with 197 home runs.

The Cardinals’ .252 batting average was among the best in baseball, ranking ninth in MLB.

St. Louis showed patience at the plate last season, having the fifth-best rate of strikeouts per game (7.6) among MLB offenses.

The Cardinals had a 7.4 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 30th in baseball.

St. Louis pitched to a 3.79 last season, which ranked ninth in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch (2022)

Gausman makes his first start of the season for the Blue Jays.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. finished with a .274 average last season, with 32 home runs and 97 RBI.

Bo Bichette posted a .290 average with 93 RBI.

Springer finished with a .267 average, 25 home runs and 76 RBI last season.

Alejandro Kirk hit .285 with an OBP of .374, and a slugging percentage of .415.

Cardinals Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Cardinals will send Flaherty to the mound for his first start this season.

Paul Goldschmidt hit 35 home runs and had 115 runs batted in last season, while accumulating a batting average of .317.

Nolan Arenado hit .293 with 42 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 55 walks.

Tommy Edman hit .265 a season ago with 31 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 48 walks.

Willson Contreras had 23 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .243.

Blue Jays and Cardinals Injuries

Blue Jays: Hyun-Jin Ryu: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)

Cardinals: Paul DeJong: 10 Day IL (Back), Adam Wainwright: 15 Day IL (Groin), Wilking Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Willson Contreras: day-to-day (Knee)