Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 31, 2023

March 31, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a big two-homer game last time out, C.J. Cron leads the Colorado Rockies (1-0) into action as +162 underdogs against the San Diego Padres (0-1). First pitch from PETCO Park at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, live on MLB Network.

San Diego’s Nick Martinez and Colorado’s Kyle Freeland have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds

Padres odds to win: -194
Rockies odds to win: +162
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, March 31, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Rockies?

Padres and Rockies Betting Trends (2022)

The Padres went 68-51 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 57.1% of those games).

San Diego had a record of 14-9 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -194 or shorter last year (60.9%).

The Rockies were underdogs in 134 games last season and won 52 (38.8%) of those contests.

Last season, Colorado won 16 of its 54 games, or 29.6%, when it was the underdog by at least +162 on the moneyline.

The Padres played in 174 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 84 times (84-85-5).

The Rockies and their opponents hit the over in 74 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Padres Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Padres scored the 13th-most runs in baseball (705 total, 4.4 per game).

San Diego averaged 0.9 home runs per game to rank 21st in baseball with 153 total home runs last season.

The Padres ranked 15th in MLB with a .241 batting average.

The team struck out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-best average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Padres had a collective 9.1 K/9 last season, which ranked fifth in the majors.

San Diego had the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.82).

Rockies Stats & Insights (2022)

The Rockies scored the 15th-most runs in the league last season with 698 (4.3 per game).

Colorado ranked 22nd in Major League Baseball with 149 home runs.

The Rockies had a team batting average of .254 last season, which ranked sixth among MLB teams.

Colorado showed patience at the plate last season, having the 10th-best rate of strikeouts per game (8.2) among MLB offenses.

The Rockies had a 7.5 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 29th in baseball.

Colorado had the 30th-ranked ERA (5.08) in the majors last season.

Padres Key Players to Watch (2022)

Martinez starts for the first time this season for the Padres.

Manny Machado slugged 32 home runs and collected 102 RBI last season while batting .298.

Juan Soto collected 127 hits, posted an OBP of .407, and a .452 SLG.

Xander Bogaerts finished last season with a .307 batting average while adding 15 home runs and 73 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth hit .240 with an OBP of .336, and a slugging percentage of .394.

Rockies Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Rockies will send Freeland to the mound for his first start this season.

Jurickson Profar hit .243 a season ago with 36 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 73 walks.

Cron hit 29 home runs with 102 RBI last year.

Charlie Blackmon hit .264 last season with 22 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.

Ryan McMahon had 23 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .246.

Padres and Rockies Injuries

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Rockies: Randal Grichuk: 10 Day IL (Hernia), Antonio Senzatela: 15 Day IL (Knee), Daniel Bard: 15 Day IL (Anxiety), Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)