Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

March 31, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (1-0) will look to Adley Rutschman, after his five-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox (0-1) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET on NESN. The Orioles are +133 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Boston’s Chris Sale and Baltimore’s Dean Kremer have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -157
Orioles odds to win: +133
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Orioles?

Red Sox and Orioles Betting Trends (2022)

The Red Sox won 60% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (48-32).

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -157 or shorter last year, Boston had a record of 17-7 (70.8%).

The Orioles won 64, or 48.5%, of the 132 games they played as underdogs last season.

Baltimore had a record of 35-39, a 47.3% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +133 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Red Sox played in 162 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-77-9).

Games involving the Orioles went over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 161 chances last season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Red Sox were the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.5 runs per game (735 total).

Boston ranked 20th in the majors with 155 home runs last season. It averaged 1.0 per game.

The Red Sox’s .258 batting average was third-best in MLB.

The club struck out 8.5 times per game to rank 14th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Red Sox had a collective 8.5 K/9 last season, which ranked 19th in MLB.

Boston had a 4.54 team ERA that ranked 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights (2022)

The Orioles scored 674 runs (4.2 per game) last season, which ranked 20th in MLB.

Baltimore ranked 15th in Major League Baseball with 171 home runs.

The Orioles ranked 20th in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

Baltimore ranked 17th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles averaged the 25th-most strikeouts per nine innings (7.6) in the big leagues last season.

Baltimore pitched to a 3.97 last season, which ranked 17th in baseball.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2022)

Sale makes his first start of the season for the Red Sox.

Last season, Rafael Devers had a .295 batting average with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Alex Verdugo hit .280 with an OBP of .330 and a slugging percentage of .405.

Justin Turner finished last season with 13 home runs, 81 RBI and a batting average of .278.

Raimel Tapia hit .265 with an OBP of .292, and a slugging percentage of .380.

Orioles Key Players to Watch (2022)

Kremer gets the nod for the Orioles and will make his first start of the season.

Anthony Santander racked up 33 home runs and had 89 runs batted in last season.

Cedric Mullins hit .258 a season ago with 157 hits.

Ryan Mountcastle hit .250 a season ago with 28 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 44 walks.

Adley Rutschman hit .254 with 35 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 65 walks.

Red Sox and Orioles Injuries

Red Sox: James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Wyatt Mills: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Hip), Brayan Bello: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: James McCann: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), John Means: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)