Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (0-1) are set to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, airing on BSOH. The Reds are listed as -147 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Pirates have +126 odds for the contest.

Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo and Pittsburgh’s Rich Hill have been named the starters for this contest.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds

  • Reds odds to win: -147
  • Pirates odds to win: +126
  • Spread: Reds -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Reds vs. Pirates Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSOH
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    Who Will Win Reds vs. Pirates?

    Reds and Pirates Betting Trends (2022)

    The Reds won 36.4% of the games last season they were favored on the moneyline (12-21).

    When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -147 or shorter last year, Cincinnati finished with a record of 3-2 (60%).

    The Pirates won 47, or 34.8%, of the 135 games they played as underdogs last season.

    Last season, Pittsburgh won 36 of its 109 games, or 33%, when it was the underdog by at least +126 on the moneyline.

    The Reds combined with their opponents to go over the total 75 times last season for a 75-79-6 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Pirates went over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 162 chances last season.

    Reds Stats & Insights (2022)

    Last season the Reds were the 23rd-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.0 runs per game (648 total).

    Cincinnati ranked 19th in the majors with 156 home runs last season. It averaged 1.0 per game.

    The Reds’ .235 batting average ranked 21st in MLB.

    The team struck out 8.8 times per game, the No. 23 mark in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Reds had a collective 9.0 K/9 last season, which ranked eighth in MLB.

    Cincinnati’s 4.86 team ERA ranked 28th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights (2022)

    The Pirates scored the 27th-most runs in the league last season with just 591 (3.6 per game).

    Pittsburgh’s 158 home runs ranked 18th in Major League Baseball.

    The Pirates had a team batting average of just .222 last season, which ranked 29th among MLB teams.

    Pittsburgh ranked 28th in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

    The Pirates averaged the 22nd-most strikeouts per nine innings (7.9) in the big leagues last season.

    Pittsburgh pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.66 last year, which ranked 26th in MLB.

    Reds Key Players to Watch (2022)

    Lodolo starts for the first time this season for the Reds.

    Jonathan India drove in 41 runs while batting .246 last season.

    TJ Friedl collected 54 hits, posted an OBP of .314, and a .436 SLG.

    Jake Fraley finished with a .259 batting average last season and 12 home runs.

    Kevin Newman collected 79 hits, posted an OBP of .316 and a .372 SLG.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch (2022)

    Hill has been named the starter for the Pirates and will make his first start this season.

    Bryan Reynolds hit 27 home runs while putting up a batting average of .262 last season.

    Andrew McCutchen was productive with 69 runs batted in while collecting 122 hits.

    Carlos Santana hit .202 a season ago with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 73 walks.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes had 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 48 walks while batting .244.

    Reds and Pirates Injuries

    Reds: Nick Senzel: 10 Day IL (Toe), Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Pirates: Robert Stephenson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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    How to Bet on Reds vs. Pirates

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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