Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

April 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (1-1) are set to take on the Miami Marlins (1-1) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, airing on BSFL. The Mets are listed as -117 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Marlins have -102 odds for the contest.

New York’s Tylor Megill and Miami’s Edward Cabrera have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Mets odds to win: -117
Marlins odds to win: -102
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

Mets and Marlins Betting Trends (2022)

The Mets won 65.1% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (82-44).

New York had a record of 80-42 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -117 or shorter last year (65.6%).

The Marlins won 33, or 34%, of the 97 games they played as underdogs last season.

Last season, Miami won 29 of its 89 games, or 32.6%, when it was the underdog by at least -102 on the moneyline.

The Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total 87 times last season for an 87-69-8 record against the over/under.

The Marlins and their opponents hit the over in 70 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Mets Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Mets were the fifth-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.8 runs per game (772 total).

New York ranked 15th in the majors with 171 total home runs last season.

The Mets’ .259 batting average was second-best in the majors.

New York’s batters struck out 7.5 times per game, the third-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff led MLB last season with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 3.57 team ERA ranked seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights (2022)

The Marlins were among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 586 total runs (3.6 per game) last season.

Miami ranked 24th in Major League Baseball with 144 home runs.

The Marlins had a team batting average of just .230 last season, which ranked 26th among MLB teams.

Miami ranked 22nd with an average of 8.8 strikeouts per game.

The Marlins had a 9.0 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Miami pitchers had a combined ERA of 3.86 last year, which ranked 13th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch (2022)

Megill makes his first start of the season for the Mets.

Pete Alonso finished with a .271 average last season, with 40 home runs and 131 RBI.

Francisco Lindor collected 170 hits, posted an OBP of .340, and a .449 SLG.

Brandon Nimmo finished with a .274 average, 16 home runs and 64 RBI last season.

Jeff McNeil posted a .326 average with nine homers and 63 RBI.

Marlins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Cabrera gets the nod for the Marlins and will make his first start of the season.

Luis Arraez had 173 hits with a batting average of .316 last season.

Yuli Gurriel collected 53 runs batted in with 132 hits.

Jean Segura hit .277 a season ago with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 26 walks.

Jon Berti had 17 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 42 walks while batting .237.

Mets and Marlins Injuries

Mets: Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 15 Day IL (Lat), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Marlins: Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Nic Enright: 15 Day IL (Illness), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow)