Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

April 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (0-2) are favorites (-222) on the moneyline when they square off against the Colorado Rockies (2-0) Saturday at 8:40 PM ET, live on BSSD.

Michael Wacha will get the ball for San Diego while Colorado will counter with Jose Urena.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds

Padres odds to win: -222
Rockies odds to win: +185
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Time: 8:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Rockies?

Padres and Rockies Betting Trends (2022)

The Padres won 68 of the 119 games they were favored on the moneyline last season (57.1%).

San Diego had a record of 10-6 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -222 or shorter last year (62.5%).

The Rockies won 52, or 38.8%, of the 134 games they played as underdogs last season.

Colorado had a record of 11-23, a 32.4% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +185 or more by oddsmakers last season.

The Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 84 times last season for an 84-85-5 record against the over/under.

The Rockies and their opponents hit the over in 74 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Padres Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Padres scored the 13th-most runs in baseball (705 total, 4.4 per game).

San Diego averaged 0.9 home runs per game to rank 21st in baseball with 153 total home runs last season.

The Padres’ .241 batting average ranked 15th in MLB.

San Diego’s hitters struck out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-fewest strikeouts in MLB.

The Padres pitching staff was fifth in the majors last season with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego’s 3.82 team ERA ranked 11th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Rockies Stats & Insights (2022)

The Rockies scored 698 runs (4.3 per game) last season, which ranked 15th in MLB.

Colorado hit 149 homers last season, which ranked 22nd in the majors.

The Rockies had a team batting average of .254 last season, which ranked sixth among MLB teams.

Colorado ranked 10th in MLB in strikeouts per game at 8.2 whiffs per contest.

The Rockies had a 7.5 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 29th in baseball.

Colorado had the 30th-ranked ERA (5.08) in the majors last season.

Padres Key Players to Watch (2022)

Wacha will make his first start of the season for the Padres.

Manny Machado slugged 32 home runs and collected 102 RBI last season while batting .298.

Juan Soto collected 127 hits, posted an OBP of .407, and a .452 SLG.

Xander Bogaerts finished last season with a .307 batting average while adding 15 home runs and 73 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth collected 141 hits, posted an OBP of .336 and a .394 SLG.

Rockies Key Players to Watch (2022)

Urena gets the nod for the Rockies and will make his first start of the season.

Jurickson Profar hit .243 a season ago with 36 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 73 walks.

C.J. Cron hit 29 home runs with 102 runs batted in last year.

Charlie Blackmon hit .264 last season with 22 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.

Ryan McMahon had 23 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .246.

Padres and Rockies Injuries

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Rockies: Randal Grichuk: 10 Day IL (Hernia), Antonio Senzatela: 15 Day IL (Knee), Daniel Bard: 15 Day IL (Anxiety), Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)