Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Sunday, April 2, 2023

Social Navigation

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 2, 2023

MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (1-2) and Luis Arraez, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+102) on the moneyline and will look to upset the New York Mets (2-1) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET on MLB Network.

New York’s Kodai Senga gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -121
  • Marlins odds to win: +102
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs

Mets vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

Mets and Marlins Betting Trends (2022)

The Mets put together an 82-44 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 65.1% of those games).

In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -121 or shorter last year, New York finished with a record of 78-40 (66.1%).

The Marlins were underdogs in 97 games last season and won 33 (34%) of those contests.

Miami had a record of 27-58, a 31.8% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +102 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total 87 times last season for an 87-69-8 record against the over/under.

The Marlins and their opponents hit the over in 70 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Mets Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Mets were the fifth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.8 runs per game (772 total).

New York ranked 15th in baseball with 171 home runs last season. It averaged 1.1 per game.

The Mets had the second-best batting average in the majors (.259).

The team struck out 7.5 times per game, the third-fewest average in baseball.

The Mets pitching staff led the majors last season with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 3.57 team ERA ranked seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights (2022)

The Marlins were among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 586 total runs (3.6 per game) last season.

Miami’s 144 home runs ranked 24th in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins ranked 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .230.

Miami ranked 22nd with an average of 8.8 strikeouts per game.

The Marlins had a 9.0 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Miami pitched to a 3.86 last season, which ranked 13th in baseball.

Mets Key Players to Watch (2022)

Senga makes his first start of the season for the Mets.

Pete Alonso slugged 40 home runs and collected 131 RBI last season while batting .271.

Francisco Lindor hit .270 with an OBP of .340 and a slugging percentage of .449.

Brandon Nimmo finished with a .274 average, 16 home runs and 64 RBI last season.

Jeff McNeil posted a .326 average with nine homers and 63 RBI.

Marlins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Rogers will make his first start of the season for the Marlins.

Arraez racked up 173 hits with a batting average of .316 last season.

Yuli Gurriel put up 53 runs batted in with 132 hits.

Jean Segura hit .277 last season with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 26 walks.

Jon Berti hit .237 with 17 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 42 walks.

Mets and Marlins Injuries

Mets: Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 15 Day IL (Lat), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Marlins: Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Nic Enright: 15 Day IL (Illness), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 4, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Marlins

    Get more MLB Picks, read the latest MLB game previews, and view the latest live MLB lines on Betsperts.

    If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on Baseball and find the best MLB betting sites and promo codes.

    Latest from Bleacher Nation:

    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.