Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 2, 2023

April 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox (1-1) will look to Adam Duvall, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (1-1) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET on NESN. The Red Sox are -141 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

Boston’s Tanner Houck and Baltimore’s Cole Irvin have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -141
Orioles odds to win: +120
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023
Time: 1:35 PM ET
TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Orioles?

Red Sox and Orioles Betting Trends (2022)

The Red Sox won 60% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (48-32).

In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -141 or shorter last year, Boston had a record of 22-19 (53.7%).

Last season, the Orioles won 64 out of the 132 games, or 48.5%, in which they were the underdog.

Last season, Baltimore won 44 of its 91 games, or 48.4%, when it was the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.

The Red Sox played in 162 games with a set over/under, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-77-9).

The Orioles and their opponents hit the over in 72 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Red Sox scored the ninth-most runs in baseball (735 total, 4.5 per game).

Boston averaged 1.0 home run per game to rank 20th in the majors with 155 total home runs last season.

The Red Sox had the third-best batting average in the league (.258).

The club’s 8.5 strikeouts per game ranked 14th in the majors.

The Red Sox pitching staff was 19th in the majors last season with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Boston had a 4.54 team ERA that ranked 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights (2022)

The Orioles scored the 20th-most runs in the league last season with 674 (4.2 per game).

Baltimore hit 171 homers last season, which ranked 15th in the majors.

The Orioles had a team batting average of .236 last season, which ranked 20th among MLB teams.

Baltimore ranked 17th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles had a 7.6 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 25th in the majors.

Baltimore pitchers had a combined ERA of 3.97 last year, which ranked 17th in MLB.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2022)

Houck starts for the first time this season for the Red Sox.

Rafael Devers hit 27 home runs last season, drove in 88 runs and posted a .295 batting average.

Alex Verdugo collected 166 hits, posted an OBP of .330, and a .405 SLG.

Justin Turner finished with a .278 average, 13 home runs and 81 RBI last season.

Raimel Tapia hit .265 with an OBP of .292, and a slugging percentage of .380.

Orioles Key Players to Watch (2022)

Irvin gets the nod for the Orioles and will make his first start of the season.

Anthony Santander had 33 home runs and 89 runs batted in last season.

Cedric Mullins had a .258 batting average with 157 hits.

Ryan Mountcastle hit .250 a season ago with 28 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 44 walks.

Adley Rutschman hit .254 with 35 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 65 walks.

Red Sox and Orioles Injuries

Red Sox: James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Wyatt Mills: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Hip), Brayan Bello: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: James McCann: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), John Means: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)