Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 2, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (1-1) are -134 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Pirates are listed with +114 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Graham Ashcraft will get the ball for Cincinnati while Pittsburgh will counter with Vince Velasquez.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds

  • Reds odds to win: -134
  • Pirates odds to win: +114
  • Spread: Reds -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Reds vs. Pirates Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSOH
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    Who Will Win Reds vs. Pirates?

    Reds and Pirates Betting Trends (2022)

    The Reds went 12-21 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 36.4% of those games).

    When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -134 or shorter last year, Cincinnati had a record of 4-7 (36.4%).

    The Pirates won 47, or 34.8%, of the 135 games they played as underdogs last season.

    Pittsburgh had a record of 41-80, a 33.9% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +114 or more by oddsmakers last season.

    The Reds played in 160 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-79-6).

    The Pirates and their opponents hit the over in 75 of their 162 games with a total last season.

    Reds Stats & Insights (2022)

    Last season the Reds had the No. 23 offense in MLB action scoring 4.0 runs per game (648 total runs).

    Cincinnati averaged 1.0 home run per game to rank 19th in baseball with 156 total home runs last season.

    The Reds ranked 21st in the majors with a .235 batting average.

    The team struck out 8.8 times per game to rank 23rd in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Reds had a collective 9.0 K/9 last season, which ranked eighth in the majors.

    Cincinnati had the 28th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.86).

    Pirates Stats & Insights (2022)

    The Pirates scored 591 runs (just 3.6 per game) last season, which ranked 27th in MLB.

    Pittsburgh hit 158 homers last season, which ranked 18th in the majors.

    The Pirates had a team batting average of just .222 last season, which ranked 29th among MLB teams.

    Pittsburgh was one of the least disciplined teams at the plate last season, ranking 28th with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.

    The Pirates had a 7.9 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 22nd in the majors.

    Pittsburgh pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.66 last year, which ranked 26th in MLB.

    Reds Key Players to Watch (2022)

    Ashcraft will make his first start of the season for the Reds.

    Jonathan India finished with a .246 average and 41 RBI last season.

    TJ Friedl hit .240 with an OBP of .314 and a slugging percentage of .436.

    Jake Fraley finished with a .259 batting average last season and 12 home runs.

    Kevin Newman hit .274 with an OBP of .316, and a slugging percentage of .372.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch (2022)

    The Pirates will send Velasquez to the mound for his first start this season.

    Bryan Reynolds accumulated a batting average of .262, while hitting 27 home runs last season.

    Andrew McCutchen racked up 69 runs batted in with 122 hits.

    Carlos Santana hit .202 last season with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 73 walks.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes had 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 48 walks while batting .244.

    Reds and Pirates Injuries

    Reds: Nick Senzel: 10 Day IL (Toe), Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Pirates: Robert Stephenson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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    How to Bet on Reds vs. Pirates

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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