Brewers vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 3, 2023

April 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (2-1) and New York Mets (3-1) meet Monday at American Family Field, starting at 2:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Brewers are -113 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Mets are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +157 odds.

Freddy Peralta gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Carlos Carrasco is New York’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Mets Odds

Brewers odds to win: -113
Mets odds to win: -106
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
Time: 2:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Mets?

Brewers and Mets Betting Trends (2022)

The Brewers won 56% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (70-55).

Milwaukee had a record of 69-54 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -113 or shorter last year (56.1%).

The Mets were underdogs 38 times last season and won 19, or 50%, of those games.

New York had a record of 17-18, a 48.6% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by -106 or more by sportsbooks last season.

The Brewers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 77 times last season for a 77-77-8 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Mets went over the total set by bookmakers in 87 of 164 chances last season.

Brewers Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Brewers scored the 10th-most runs in baseball (725 total, 4.5 per game).

Milwaukee averaged 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in the majors with 219 total home runs last season.

The Brewers had the 22nd-ranked batting average in MLB (.234).

The club struck out 9.0 times per game, the fourth-worst mark in MLB.

The Brewers pitching staff was third in MLB last season with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Milwaukee’s 3.85 team ERA ranked 12th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights (2022)

The Mets were among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fifth with 772 total runs last season.

New York’s 171 home runs ranked 15th in Major League Baseball.

The Mets had a team batting average of .259 last season, which ranked second among MLB teams.

New York ranked third in MLB in strikeouts per game at 7.5 whiffs per contest.

The Mets had a 9.8 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, first-best in baseball.

New York pitched to a 3.57 last season, which ranked seventh in baseball.

Brewers Key Players to Watch (2022)

Peralta will make his first start of the season for the Brewers.

Rowdy Tellez finished with a .219 batting average last season and 35 home runs.

Willy Adames finished with 98 RBI while batting .238 and hitting 31 homers.

Christian Yelich finished last season with a .250 batting average while adding 14 home runs and 57 RBI.

Jesse Winker hit .219 with an OBP of .345, and a slugging percentage of .344.

Mets Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Mets will send Carrasco to the mound for his first start this season.

Pete Alonso accumulated 40 home runs and had 131 runs batted in last season.

Francisco Lindor hit .270 with 25 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks.

Brandon Nimmo hit .274 last season with 30 doubles, seven triples, 16 home runs and 71 walks.

Jeff McNeil hit .326 a season ago with 174 hits.

Brewers and Mets Injuries

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Aaron Ashby: 15 Day IL (Labrum), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Mets: Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), José Quintana: 15 Day IL (Rib), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 15 Day IL (Lat), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)