Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 3, 2023

April 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (2-2), led by the red-hot Xander Bogaerts and his two-game homer streak, are -140 favorites to pick up a win over the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-2) Monday at 9:40 PM ET, live from PETCO Park and broadcast on BSSD.

Ryan Weathers will get the ball for San Diego while Arizona will counter with Ryne Nelson.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Padres odds to win: -140
Diamondbacks odds to win: +119
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Diamondbacks?

Padres and Diamondbacks Betting Trends (2022)

The Padres finished 68-51 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 57.1% of those games).

In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -140 or shorter last year, San Diego finished with a record of 48-34 (58.5%).

Last season, the Diamondbacks were the underdog 120 times and won 51, or 42.5%, of those games.

Arizona had a record of 29-50, a 36.7% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +119 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total 84 times last season for an 84-85-5 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Diamondbacks went over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 162 chances last season.

Padres Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Padres had the No. 13 offense in MLB action scoring 4.4 runs per game (705 total runs).

San Diego ranked 21st in baseball with 153 total home runs last season.

The Padres’ .241 batting average ranked 15th in MLB.

San Diego’s batters struck out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The Padres pitching staff ranked fifth in MLB last season with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Diego had the 11th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.82).

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights (2022)

The Diamondbacks scored 702 runs (4.3 per game) last season, which ranked 14th in MLB.

Arizona ranked 14th in Major League Baseball with 173 home runs.

The Diamondbacks had a team batting average of just .230 last season, which ranked 26th among MLB teams.

Arizona had the 11th-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.3) among MLB offenses.

The Diamondbacks struck out 7.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona pitched to a 4.26 last season, which ranked 23rd in baseball.

Padres Key Players to Watch (2022)

Weathers will make his first start of the season for the Padres.

Manny Machado finished with a .298 average last season, with 32 home runs and 102 RBI.

Juan Soto collected 127 hits, posted an OBP of .407, and a .452 SLG.

Bogaerts hit .307 last season with 15 home runs and 73 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth hit .240 with an OBP of .336, and a slugging percentage of .394.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch (2022)

Nelson gets the nod for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start of the season.

Christian Walker had 36 home runs and 94 runs batted in last season.

Ketel Marte had 42 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 58 walks while batting .240.

Josh Rojas had 119 hits with a batting average of .269 last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. had 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .291.

Padres and Diamondbacks Injuries

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Diamondbacks: Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)