Rangers vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 3, 2023

April 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Texas Rangers (3-0) hope to avoid an upset as -140 favorites when they take on Cedric Mullins (with homers in two straight contests) and the Baltimore Orioles (1-2). First pitch is at 8:05 PM ET Monday, live from Globe Life Field and airing on BSSW.

Texas’ Jon Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish.

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds

Rangers odds to win: -140
Orioles odds to win: +118
Spread: Rangers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
Time: 8:05 PM ET
TV: BSSW

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Who Will Win Rangers vs. Orioles?

Rangers and Orioles Betting Trends (2022)

The Rangers finished with a 25-33 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 43.1% of those games).

When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -140 or shorter last year, Texas finished with a record of 14-10 (58.3%).

The Orioles won 64, or 48.5%, of the 132 games they played as underdogs last season.

Baltimore had a record of 45-47, a 48.9% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +118 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Rangers played in 162 games with a set over/under, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-76-8).

Games involving the Orioles went over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 161 chances last season.

Rangers Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Rangers had the No. 12 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (707 total runs).

Texas averaged 1.2 home runs per game to rank eighth in baseball with 198 total home runs last season.

The Rangers’ .238 batting average ranked 18th in the majors.

The team struck out 8.9 times per game to rank 24th in baseball.

The Rangers pitching staff ranked 21st in MLB last season with a collective 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Texas had a 4.22 team ERA that ranked 22nd across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights (2022)

The Orioles ranked 20th in the majors with 674 total runs scored last season.

Baltimore’s 171 home runs ranked 15th in Major League Baseball.

The Orioles ranked 20th in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

Baltimore had the 17th-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.6) among MLB offenses.

The Orioles struck out 7.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Baltimore had the 17th-ranked ERA (3.97) in the majors last season.

Rangers Key Players to Watch (2022)

Gray will make his first start of the season for the Rangers.

Marcus Semien finished with a .248 average, 26 home runs and 83 RBI last season.

Corey Seager slugged 33 long balls while driving in 84 runs.

Adolis Garcia finished with a .250 average and 101 RBI last season.

Nate Lowe posted a .302 average with 76 RBI.

Orioles Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Orioles will send out Bradish for his first start of the season.

Anthony Santander had 33 home runs and 89 runs batted in last season.

Mullins hit .258 a season ago with 157 hits.

Ryan Mountcastle hit .250 last season with 28 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 44 walks.

Adley Rutschman hit .254 with 35 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 65 walks.

Rangers and Orioles Injuries

Rangers: Leody Taveras: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Spencer Howard: 15 Day IL (Lat), Josh Sborz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Brett Martin: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Odorizzi: 60 Day IL (Leg), Glenn Otto: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Orioles: James McCann: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), John Means: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)