Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Monday, April 3, 2023

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Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 3, 2023

MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox (2-1), led by Kike Hernandez on a two-game home run streak, are -154 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2). First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET Monday, live from Fenway Park and airing on MLB Network.

Boston’s Kutter Crawford gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Johan Oviedo.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds

  • Red Sox odds to win: -154
  • Pirates odds to win: +131
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs

Red Sox vs. Pirates Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Pirates?

Red Sox and Pirates Betting Trends (2022)

The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline 80 total times last season. They finished 48-32 in those games.

Boston had a record of 18-10 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -154 or shorter last year (64.3%).

Last season, the Pirates were the underdog 135 times and won 47, or 34.8%, of those games.

Last season, Pittsburgh won 31 of its 101 games, or 30.7%, when it was the underdog by at least +131 on the moneyline.

The Red Sox played in 162 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-77-9).

The Pirates and their opponents hit the over in 75 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Red Sox scored the ninth-most runs in baseball (735 total, 4.5 per game).

Boston ranked 20th in the majors with 155 home runs last season. It averaged 1.0 per game.

The Red Sox’s .258 batting average was third-best in the majors.

The club struck out 8.5 times per game to rank 14th in the majors.

The Red Sox pitching staff ranked 19th in the majors last season with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Boston had a 4.54 team ERA that ranked 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Pirates Stats & Insights (2022)

The Pirates were among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 591 total runs (3.6 per game) last season.

Pittsburgh ranked 18th in Major League Baseball with 158 home runs.

The Pirates had a team batting average of just .222 last season, which ranked 29th among MLB teams.

Pittsburgh ranked 28th in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

The Pirates had a 7.9 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 22nd in the majors.

Pittsburgh pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.66 last year, which ranked 26th in MLB.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2022)

Crawford gets the call to start for the Red Sox, his first of the season.

Rafael Devers hit 27 home runs last season, drove in 88 runs and posted a .295 batting average.

Alex Verdugo collected 166 hits, posted an OBP of .330, and a .405 SLG.

Justin Turner finished with a .278 average, 13 home runs and 81 RBI last season.

Raimel Tapia collected 109 hits, posted an OBP of .292 and a .380 SLG.

Pirates Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Pirates will send out Oviedo for his first start of the season.

Bryan Reynolds racked up a batting average of .262, while hitting 27 home runs last season.

Andrew McCutchen was productive with 69 runs batted in while collecting 122 hits.

Carlos Santana hit .202 a season ago with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 73 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes had 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 48 walks while hitting .244.

Red Sox and Pirates Injuries

Red Sox: Brayan Bello: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Hip), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Pirates: Robert Stephenson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 7, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.