Twins vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 3, 2023

April 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game in a win over the Royals, Joey Gallo leads the Minnesota Twins (3-0) into action as -125 favorites against the Miami Marlins (1-3). First pitch from LoanDepot park at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, live on BSFL.

Minnesota’s Tyler Mahle gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Johnny Cueto.

Twins vs. Marlins Odds

Twins odds to win: -125
Marlins odds to win: +105
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Marlins?

Twins and Marlins Betting Trends (2022)

The Twins won 60.4% of the games last season they were favored on the moneyline (55-36).

Minnesota had a record of 49-28 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter last year (63.6%).

Last season, the Marlins won 33 out of the 97 games, or 34%, in which they were the underdog.

Miami had a record of 25-56, a 30.9% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +105 or more by sportsbooks last season.

The Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 73 times last season for a 73-76-12 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Marlins went over the total set by oddsmakers in 70 of 162 chances last season.

Twins Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Twins had the No. 17 offense in MLB action scoring 4.3 runs per game (696 total runs).

Minnesota ranked 13th in the majors with 178 home runs last season. It averaged 1.1 per game.

The Twins ranked 11th in the majors with a .248 batting average.

The club struck out 8.4 times per game to rank 12th in baseball.

The Twins pitching staff was 20th in the majors last season with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Minnesota had a 3.98 team ERA that ranked 19th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights (2022)

The Marlins were among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 586 total runs (3.6 per game) last season.

Miami ranked 24th in Major League Baseball with 144 home runs.

The Marlins had a team batting average of just .230 last season, which ranked 26th among MLB teams.

Miami had the 22nd-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.8) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins had a 9.0 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Miami pitchers had a combined ERA of 3.86 last year, which ranked 13th in MLB.

Twins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Mahle will start for the Twins, his first of the season.

Carlos Correa hit .291 last season with 22 home runs and 64 RBI.

Kyle Farmer finished with 78 RBI while batting .253 and hitting 14 homers.

Jose Miranda finished with a .268 average, 15 home runs and 66 RBI last season.

Max Kepler collected 88 hits, posted an OBP of .320 and a .348 SLG.

Marlins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Cueto will make his first start of the season for the Marlins.

Luis Arraez racked up 173 hits with a batting average of .316 last season.

Yuli Gurriel was productive with 53 RBI while collecting 132 hits.

Jean Segura hit .277 a season ago with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 26 walks.

Jon Berti hit .237 with 17 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 42 walks.

Twins and Marlins Injuries

Twins: Gilberto Celestino: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Marlins: Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)