Astros vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

April 4, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Detroit Tigers (1-3) will look to Matt Vierling, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Houston Astros (2-3) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET on SportsNet SW. The Tigers are +234 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers.

Houston’s Framber Valdez and Detroit’s Matt Manning have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Tigers Odds

Astros odds to win: -286
Tigers odds to win: +234
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet SW

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Tigers?

Astros and Tigers Betting Trends (2022)

The Astros put together a 103-46 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 69.1% of those games).

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -286 or shorter last year, Houston finished with a record of 9-2 (81.8%).

The Tigers were underdogs 136 times last season and won 53, or 39%, of those games.

Last season, Detroit won two of its eight games when it was the underdog by at least +234 on the moneyline.

The Astros played in 174 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 62 times (62-100-12).

Games involving the Tigers went over the total set by sportsbooks in 61 of 162 chances last season.

Astros Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Astros scored the eighth-most runs in baseball (737 total, 4.5 per game).

Houston averaged 1.3 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 214 total home runs last season.

The Astros ranked 13th in the majors with a .247 batting average.

The team struck out 7.3 times per game, the second-fewest average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Astros had a collective 9.5 K/9 last season, which ranked third in the majors.

Houston’s 2.89 team ERA ranked second among all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights (2022)

The Tigers scored 556 runs (just 3.4 per game) last season, which ranked last in MLB.

Detroit’s 110 home runs ranked last in MLB last season.

The Tigers’ .231 batting average ranked 25th in the majors last season.

Detroit ranked 21st with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.

The Tigers had a 7.6 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 25th in the majors.

Detroit pitched to a 4.06 last season, which ranked 21st in baseball.

Astros Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Astros are sending Valdez (0-0) to make his second start of the season.

Yordan Alvarez hit 37 home runs last season while also driving in 97 runs.

Alex Bregman collected 142 hits, posted an OBP of .367, and a .454 SLG.

Kyle Tucker drove in 107 runs while batting .257 last season.

Jose Abreu collected 183 hits, posted an OBP of .380 and a .446 SLG.

Tigers Key Players to Watch (2022)

Manning gets the nod for the Tigers and will make his first start of the season.

Javier Baez hit 17 home runs and had 67 runs batted in last season, while putting up a batting average of .238.

Jonathan Schoop had 23 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 20 walks while batting .202.

Eric Haase hit .254 last season with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.

Matt Vierling had 12 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .246.

Astros and Tigers Injuries

Astros: Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine), Blake Taylor: 15 Day IL (Elbow)

Tigers: Tyler Nevin: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Michael Lorenzen: 15 Day IL (Groin), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)