Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

April 4, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (4-0) will put their four-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (1-4) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET on BSFL. Sportsbooks consider the Marlins to be -155 favorites, while the Twins are +133 underdogs to keep their streak alive.

Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for Miami while Kenta Maeda is Minnesota’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Twins Odds

Marlins odds to win: -155
Twins odds to win: +133
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Twins?

Marlins and Twins Betting Trends (2022)

The Marlins put together a 36-29 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 55.4% of those games).

Miami had a record of 11-9 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter last year (55%).

The Twins were underdogs 68 times last season and won 22, or 32.4%, of those games.

Last season, Minnesota won four of its 20 games, or 20%, when it was the underdog by at least +133 on the moneyline.

The Marlins played in 162 games with a set over/under, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-82-10).

The Twins and their opponents hit the over in 73 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Marlins Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Marlins scored the third-fewest runs in baseball (586 total, 3.6 per game).

Miami averaged 0.9 home runs per game to rank 24th in the majors with 144 total home runs last season.

The Marlins’ .230 batting average ranked 26th in MLB.

The team struck out 8.8 times per game, the No. 22 mark in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Marlins had a collective 9.0 K/9 last season, which ranked eighth in the majors.

Miami’s 3.86 team ERA ranked 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Twins Stats & Insights (2022)

The Twins ranked 17th in the majors with 696 total runs scored last season.

Minnesota hit 178 homers last season, which ranked 13th in the majors.

The Twins had a team batting average of .248 last season, which ranked 11th among MLB teams.

Minnesota had the 12th-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.4) among MLB offenses.

The Twins had an 8.4 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 20th in the majors.

Minnesota had the 19th-ranked ERA (3.98) in the majors last season.

Marlins Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Marlins will look to Alcantara (0-0) in his second start this season.

Luis Arraez finished last season with a .316 batting average while adding eight home runs and 49 RBI.

Yuli Gurriel was a key run producer with a .242 average, eight homers and 53 RBI.

Jean Segura finished with a .277 average, 10 home runs and 33 RBI last season.

Jon Berti collected 85 hits, posted an OBP of .322 and a .335 SLG.

Twins Key Players to Watch (2022)

Maeda will make his first start of the season for the Twins.

Carlos Correa accumulated 152 hits with a batting average of .291 last season.

Kyle Farmer capitalized on opportunities with 78 RBI while picking up 133 hits.

Jose Miranda hit .268 last season with 25 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks.

Max Kepler had 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 50 walks while hitting .227.

Marlins and Twins Injuries

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Steven Okert: 15 Day IL (Adductor), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Twins: Gilberto Celestino: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winder: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Max Kepler: day-to-day (Knee)