Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

April 4, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (3-2) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-3) Tuesday at 4:10 PM ET on MLB Network. Sportsbooks consider the Padres -150 favorites to extend their streak, while the Diamondbacks are +128 underdogs looking for the upset.

Yu Darvish will get the ball for San Diego while Arizona will counter with Zac Gallen.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Padres odds to win: -150
Diamondbacks odds to win: +128
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Diamondbacks?

Padres and Diamondbacks Betting Trends (2022)

The Padres were favored on the moneyline 119 total times last season. They went 68-51 in those games.

When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter last year, San Diego finished with a record of 43-27 (61.4%).

Last season, the Diamondbacks were the underdog 120 times and won 51, or 42.5%, of those games.

Arizona had a record of 28-45, a 38.4% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +128 or more by oddsmakers last season.

The Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total 84 times last season for an 84-85-5 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Diamondbacks went over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 162 chances last season.

Padres Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Padres were the 13th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.4 runs per game (705 total).

San Diego ranked 21st in MLB with 153 home runs last season. It averaged 0.9 per game.

The Padres had the 15th-ranked batting average in MLB (.241).

The club struck out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-fewest mark in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Padres had a collective 9.1 K/9 last season, which ranked fifth in the majors.

San Diego had the 11th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.82).

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights (2022)

The Diamondbacks scored 702 runs (4.3 per game) last season, which ranked 14th in MLB.

Arizona hit 173 homers last season, which ranked 14th in the majors.

The Diamondbacks ranked 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .230.

Arizona ranked 11th with an average of 8.3 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks struck out 7.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona had the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.26) in the majors last season.

Padres Key Players to Watch (2022)

Darvish will take the mound to start for the Padres, his first this season.

Manny Machado slugged 32 home runs and collected 102 RBI last season while batting .298.

Juan Soto collected 127 hits, posted an OBP of .407, and a .452 SLG.

Xander Bogaerts hit .307 last season with 15 home runs and 73 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth collected 141 hits, posted an OBP of .336 and a .394 SLG.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch (2022)

Gallen will get the start for the Diamondbacks, his second of the season.

Christian Walker had 36 home runs and 94 runs batted in last season.

Ketel Marte hit .240 with 42 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 58 walks.

Josh Rojas had 119 hits with a batting average of .269 last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit .291 with 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 32 walks.

Padres and Diamondbacks Injuries

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Diamondbacks: Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)