Braves vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 6, 2023

April 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (5-1) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they host the San Diego Padres (3-3) on Thursday at 7:20 PM ET on BSSE. The Braves are listed as -158 favorites by oddsmakers, while the Padres are +136 underdogs.

Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while San Diego will counter with Blake Snell.

Braves vs. Padres Odds

Braves odds to win: -158
Padres odds to win: +136
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

Braves vs. Padres Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, April 6, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: BSSE

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+
Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Braves vs. Padres?

Braves and Padres Betting Trends

The Braves have won 75% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (3-1).

Atlanta has gone 2-1 (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -158 or shorter.

The Padres have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog.

San Diego has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +136.

The Braves have combined with opponents to go over the total two times this season for a 2-4-0 record against the over/under.

The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in four of their six opportunities.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves rank 11th in runs scored with 32, 5.3 per game.

Atlanta averages 1.7 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 10 total home runs.

The Braves have the sixth-best batting average in the majors (.280).

Atlanta strikes out 8.3 times per game, the 10th-best average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 6.6 K/9, the fourth-worst in MLB.

Atlanta has a 2.38 team ERA that ranks fifth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 17th in the league with 25 total runs scored this season.

San Diego ranks ninth in Major League Baseball with nine home runs.

The Padres’ .234 batting average ranks 19th in the league this season.

San Diego is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 36 as a team.

The Padres average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (9.0) in the league this season.

San Diego has the 15th-ranked ERA (4.67) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

The Braves will look to Strider (1-0) in his second start this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .370 with two home runs and four RBI for Atlanta this season.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with three and runs batted in with seven.

Austin Riley has six hits this season and a slash line of .273/.385/.591.

Travis d’Arnaud leads Atlanta with a .385 batting average.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Snell will get the start for the Padres, his second of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres in home runs (three), runs batted in (seven) and has a team-high batting average of .409.

Juan Soto is batting .190 with a double, a home run and four walks.

Trent Grisham is hitting .238 with two doubles, two home runs and three walks.

Ha-Seong Kim has two doubles, a home run and a walk while batting .294.

Braves and Padres Injuries

Braves: Collin McHugh: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Left hamstring), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Padres: Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Toe), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)