Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 7, 2023

April 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (1-5), led by Kyle Schwarber on a two-game home run streak, are -185 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Jason Vosler (homers in three straight contests) and the Cincinnati Reds (3-2). First pitch is at 3:05 PM ET on Friday, live from Citizens Bank Park and airing on NBC 10.

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds

Phillies odds to win: -185
Reds odds to win: +158
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 7, 2023
Time: 3:05 PM ET
TV: NBC 10

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Reds?

Phillies and Reds Betting Trends (2022)

The Phillies won 59.6% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (65-44).

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter last year, Philadelphia finished with a record of 25-8 (75.8%).

The Reds were underdogs 125 times last season and won 47, or 37.6%, of those games.

Cincinnati had a record of 11-37, a 22.9% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +158 or more by sportsbooks last season.

The Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 90 times last season for a 90-83-6 record against the over/under.

The Reds and their opponents hit the over in 75 of their 160 games with a total last season.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have the No. 27 offense in baseball scoring 3.0 runs per game (18 total runs).

Philadelphia has hit four home runs this season, the fourth-lowest total in MLB play.

The Phillies’ .268 batting average is eighth-best in the majors.

Philadelphia’s 9.8 strikeouts per game rank 21st in the majors.

The Phillies pitching staff is eighth in MLB with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has a 6.98 team ERA that ranks last among all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights (2022)

The Reds scored the 23rd-most runs in the league last season with 648 (4.0 per game).

Cincinnati’s 156 home runs ranked 19th in Major League Baseball.

The Reds had a team batting average of .235 last season, which ranked 21st among MLB teams.

Cincinnati ranked 23rd in MLB in strikeouts per game at 8.8 whiffs per contest.

The Reds had a 9.0 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.86 last year, which ranked 28th in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies are sending Wheeler (0-1) to the mound for his second start of the season.

Alec Bohm has been key for Philadelphia with one home run, three RBI and a batting average of .350 this season.

Trea Turner has 10 hits and an OBP of .414 to go with a slugging percentage of .556 this season.

Brandon Marsh is slashing .333/.333/.800 this season for the Phillies.

Bryson Stott leads Philadelphia with a .435 batting average.

Reds Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Reds’ Greene will make his second start of the season.

Jonathan India had 41 runs batted in a season ago.

TJ Friedl had 10 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while hitting .240.

Jake Fraley hit 12 home runs while slugging .468 last season.

Kevin Newman had 18 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 16 walks while hitting .274.

Phillies and Reds Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristopher Sanchez: 15 Day IL (Left tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl), Josh Harrison: day-to-day (Ankle)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Nick Senzel: 10 Day IL (Toe), Tony Santillan: 15 Day IL (Back), Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)